North Texas vs Minnesota United 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/07/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.28
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
78% (255/328)	81% (300/369)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.55	1.25
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
24	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
78% (255/328)	81% (300/369)
Long passes
37% (21/57)	60% (35/58)
Passes in final third
63% (47/75)	71% (89/126)
Crosses
50% (6/12)	0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.02
Throw-ins
19	22
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
59% (13/22)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
61	46
Clearances
23	5
Interceptions
14	19
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.25	2.55
Goals prevented
0.25	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Scott T. ⚽, Sarver S. (A),
34', Essel A. 🟨,
36', Calov C. 🟨,
45+1', Dorsey L. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
45+2', Putt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Molina M. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Sarver S. ⚽, Baran D. (A), Gall G. (A2)
54', 3 - 0, Scott T. ⚽, Sarver S. (A),
60', Randell A. ↓, Nour M. ↑,
60', Farris J. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
60', Kabia A. ↓, Kiingi K. ↑,
62', Sarver S. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
62', Gall G. ↓, Kaakoush I. ↑,
70', Urzua A. ↓, Aroyameh F. ↑,
72', Cisset M. 🟨,
73', Calov C. 🟨,
78', Essel A. ↓, Luccin M. ↑,
82', Putt T. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Nour M. ⚽,
88', Harms J. 🟨,
90+1', Chandler K. 🟨,
90+4', Fischer B. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

North Texas
34.5%

Draw
22.5%

Minnesota United 2
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

23.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

22.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Texas's form might have worsened.

Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Texas - Minnesota United 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.16)	4.08 ↑ (3.93)	2.14 ↓ (2.69)	8.7% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for North Texas - Minnesota United 2?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Texas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Minnesota 2 will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North Texas has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 3.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 4.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Minnesota United 2?

North Texas has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against North Texas?

Minnesota United 2 has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:

02.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:1

06.10.2024 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 8:2

03.07.2024 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 4:0

09.06.2024 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:3

05.08.2023 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 2:1

Latest results of North Texas

21.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - North Texas 4:3 ✺

18.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - North Texas 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 North Texas - Austin II 1:2 ✺

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United 2

28.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 2:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Minnesota United 2 1:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Ventura County 0:2 ✺

12.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 4:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
6	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
2	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
3	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
4	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
5	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
6	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
7	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
2	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
3	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
6	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
7	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
8	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
9	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
10	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
11	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
12	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
13	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
14	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
3	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
4	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
5	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
6	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
8	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
9	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
10	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of North Texas - Minnesota United 2?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro