North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm
Result
20:26
05/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 18
North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
34
Conversion Goal Attempts
34
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
11
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
191200
Metres Run With Ball
17391944

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 12)
  • 9', Katoa E. (Try),
  • 11', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Derby R. (Try),
  • 18', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 29', Asofa-Solomona N. (Try),
  • 31', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Purdue J. (Try),
  • 38', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (8 - 14)
  • 51', Drinkwater S. (Try),
  • 52', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Meaney N. (Try),
  • 57', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Meaney N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 65', Meaney N. (Try),
  • 67', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Drinkwater S. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
28.9%
Draw
3.9%
Melbourne Storm
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 3.6% 67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 3.5% 68.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (3.24)
    24.25
    (25.5)
    1.38
    (1.37)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Melbourne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. North Queensland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 21:30.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 4.
    • In recent matches, North Queensland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Melbourne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 377:426. (average 18.9:21.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 187:160. (average 20.8:17.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys 38:14
    23.02.2025 Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys 24:36
    29.08.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm 38:30
    04.06.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm 45:20
    Latest results of North Queensland Cowboys
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders19163546:38836
    2Canterbury Bulldogs18144428:29234
    3Melbourne Storm18135567:34532
    4New Zealand Warriors18126391:36330
    5Penrith Panthers18107420:34127
    6Brisbane Broncos18108466:38826
    7Cronulla Sharks19118435:41226
    8Dolphins1899533:36424
    9Manly Sea Eagles1899402:38024
    10Sydney Roosters18810451:44722
    11NQ Cowboys19711406:56319
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons18612404:46818
    13Wests Tigers19712357:49218
    14Parramatta Eels18612335:48218
    15Newcastle Knights19613284:40016
    16Gold Coast Titans18513370:51916
    17South Sydney Rabbitohs19613327:47816

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm?
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