Nice vs Paris FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Nice - Paris FC
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
Nice - Paris FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.84
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (315/387)85% (437/512)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.201.21
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2024
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
81% (315/387)85% (437/512)
Long passes
36% (12/33)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)74% (71/96)
Crosses
28% (5/18)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.98
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1414
Tackles
79% (11/14)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.211.20
Goals prevented
0.210.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Mbow M. 🟨,
  • 23', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Diop S. , Cho M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Abdul Samed S. , Boudaoui H. ,
  • 46', Abdi A. , Bard M. ,
  • 68', Cho M. , Jansson I. ,
  • 68', Kebbal I. , Ikone J. ,
  • 75', Moffi T. , Boga J. ,
  • 78', Boudaoui H. , Sanson M. ,
  • 78', Camara A. , Krasso J. ,
  • 78', Geubbels W. , Dicko N. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Krasso J. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Simon M. , Sangui N. ,
  • 90+2', Traore H. , Cafaro M. ,

Chances of winning


Nice
49.7%
Draw
25.4%
Paris FC
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 26.1% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 28.1% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Nice - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.95)
    3.8
    (3.64)
    3.84
    (3.78)
    3.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nice - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 26.2%69%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nice
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    23.08.2025 Nice - Auxerre 3:1
    Latest results of Paris FC
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3
    14.09.2025 Brest - Paris FC 1:2
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG751113:5816
    2Marseille750215:51015
    3Strasbourg750214:7715
    4Lyon75029:5415
    5Monaco741216:12413
    6Lens741210:6413
    7Lille732214:10411
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Toulouse731311:12-110
    10Rennes72419:10-110
    11Brest722311:1108
    12Nice72239:12-38
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Le Havre71338:10-26
    15Nantes71335:7-26
    16Auxerre72055:10-56
    17Angers71243:11-85
    18Metz70255:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nice - Paris FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaESPN 4
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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