Monaco vs Nice, French Ligue 1: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Monaco - Nice
Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Monaco - Nice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.011.10
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
85% (448/529)69% (187/272)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.011.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.561.02
Total shots
209
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
3914
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
910
Passes
85% (448/529)69% (187/272)
Long passes
55% (17/31)20% (11/55)
Passes in final third
77% (154/200)63% (53/84)
Crosses
27% (7/26)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.100.37
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (6/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
1438
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.022.56
Goals prevented
-0.980.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 24', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Diop S. , Cho M. (A),
  • 34', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 38', Moffi T. , Peprah K. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Diop S. (Pen),
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Coulibaly M. , Balogun F. ,
  • 51', Bombito M. 🟨,
  • 56', Bombito M. , Louchet T. ,
  • 56', 2 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
  • 69', Biereth M. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 70', Ouattara K. , Caio Henrique ,
  • 70', Minamino T. , Idumbo S. ,
  • 71', Salisu M. 🟨,
  • 71', Boudaoui H. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 72', Cho M. , Boga J. ,
  • 72', Diop S. , Sanson M. ,

Chances of winning


Monaco
49.9%
Draw
25.1%
Nice
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 22.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 22.1% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Monaco - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.68)
    3.84
    (4.2)
    3.82
    (4.62)
    3.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Nice?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Monaco (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.07%92.83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
    • In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Kehrer T. (Red Card) Mawissa C. (Muscle Injury) Michal L. (International duty) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Vanderson (Injury) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Bamba A. (Hamstring Injury) Camara L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Nice were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1
    27.10.2024 Nice - Monaco 2:1
    11.02.2024 Nice - Monaco 2:3
    22.09.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:1
    26.02.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    01.10.2025 Monaco - Manchester City 2:2
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2
    18.09.2025 Club Brugge - Monaco 4:1
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2
    Latest results of Nice
    02.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Nice 2:1
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG751113:5816
    2Marseille750215:51015
    3Strasbourg750214:7715
    4Lyon75029:5415
    5Monaco741216:12413
    6Lens741210:6413
    7Lille732214:10411
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Toulouse731311:12-110
    10Rennes72419:10-110
    11Brest722311:1108
    12Nice72239:12-38
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Le Havre71338:10-26
    15Nantes71335:7-26
    16Auxerre72055:10-56
    17Angers71243:11-85
    18Metz70255:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monaco - Nice?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Nova Sport
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    italyItalyLigue 1 Pass, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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