Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys
Result
5:0
05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.11
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
132
Big Chances
80
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
90% (521/577)80% (288/358)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.11
xG on target (xGOT)
4.750.10
Total shots
205
Shots on target
132
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
80
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
247
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
90% (521/577)80% (288/358)
Long passes
55% (24/44)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
77% (55/71)56% (51/91)
Crosses
35% (6/17)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.13
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1114
Tackles
84% (16/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5442
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.104.75
Goals prevented
0.10-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. , Barinaga J. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Gimenez M. ,
  • 31', Montero A. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Costa A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Chiaverano G. , Guch F. ,
  • 46', Regiardo L. , Benedetto D. ,
  • 46', Noguera F. , Iniguez G. ,
  • 50', 4 - 0, Aguirre B. ,
  • 51', Gonzalez C. , Gomez Mattar J. ,
  • 59', 5 - 0, Blanco L. , Velasco A. (A),
  • 61', Aguirre B. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 68', Herrera L. , Liberato I. ,
  • 70', Miguel Merentiel , Herrera A. ,
  • 70', Velasco A. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 79', Battaglia R. , Zenon K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
70.4%
Draw
20.1%
Newells Old Boys
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 25.5% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 24.7% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.59)
    4.88
    (3.68)
    10.16
    (6.1)
    3.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.
    • Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newells Old Boys is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Newells Old Boys has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Carlos Palacios (Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Delgado M. (International duty) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Acuna V. (International duty) Gigena T. (Inactive) Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Iniguez G. (Muscle Injury) Salcedo S. (Inactive) Sotelo D. (Inactive) Tabares A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 2:0
    08.12.2024 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 0:1
    06.04.2024 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 1:3
    12.11.2023 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    24.07.2023 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 2:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    3Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    4Racing Club1353514:13118
    5Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    6Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    7Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    8Barracas Central1145213:11217
    9Tigre1245311:9217
    10Huracan124446:10-416
    11Belgrano1236311:9215
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus1382315:9626
    2Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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