Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest
Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.280.30
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
83% (381/457)82% (353/432)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
3.280.30
xG on target (xGOT)
3.740.26
Total shots
185
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
83% (381/457)82% (353/432)
Long passes
30% (13/43)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
76% (122/160)74% (65/88)
Crosses
19% (5/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.28
Throw-ins
2517
Fouls
1615
Tackles
64% (9/14)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
1638
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
0.263.74
Goals prevented
0.261.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Yates R. 🟨,
  • 34', Williams N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Bruno Guimaraes , Burn D. (A),
  • 64', Wood Ch. , Igor Jesus ,
  • 64', Yates R. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 65', Ndoye D. , Hutchinson O. ,
  • 68', Morato 🟨,
  • 70', Gordon A. , Barnes H. ,
  • 70', Elanga A. , Murphy J. ,
  • 77', Morato , Bakwa D. ,
  • 83', Anderson E. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Woltemade N. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Joelinton , Miley L. ,
  • 90+2', Woltemade N. , Osula W. ,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
62%
Draw
21.6%
Nottingham Forest
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 23.2% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 22.7% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.68)
    4.43
    (4.11)
    5.8
    (4.78)
    4.3%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Newcastle (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • DC - Nottingham (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (84 of 103 users predict this - 81.55%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.06%89.04%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 17)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4.
    • Recent performances by Newcastle have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Zinchenko O. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Ramsey J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest 4:3
    10.11.2024 Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United 1:3
    28.08.2024 Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United 1:2
    10.02.2024 Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United 2:3
    26.12.2023 Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest 1:3
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal861115:31219
    2Manchester City851217:61116
    3Liverpool750213:9415
    4Bournemouth843114:11315
    5Tottenham742113:5814
    6Chelsea842216:9714
    7Sunderland84229:6314
    8Crystal Palace834112:8413
    9Brighton833212:11112
    10Everton83239:9011
    11Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    12Newcastle82337:709
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham82248:12-48
    15Leeds82247:13-68
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Burnley82159:15-67
    18Nottingham81255:15-105
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves80265:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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