Newcastle United vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. James' Park (Newcastle).

: Premier League - Round 33
Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.64	2.98
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	3
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
2	3
Passes
79% (344/433)	75% (286/380)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.64	2.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.88	2.00
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
11	7
Shots outside the box
1	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
39	24
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
12	11
Passes
79% (344/433)	75% (286/380)
Long passes
38% (21/56)	27% (15/56)
Passes in final third
68% (108/160)	60% (60/100)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	1.53
Throw ins
22	18
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
57% (8/14)	56% (14/25)
Duels won
55	67
Clearances
25	28
Interceptions
2	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.00	0.88
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Tavernier M. ⚽, Rayan (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hall L. ↓, Trippier K. ↑,
52', Christie R. 🟨,
55', Tavernier M. 🟨,
62', Elanga A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
62', Ramsey J. ↓, Bruno Guimaraes ↑,
65', Christie R. ↓, Adams T. ↑,
66', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Osula W. ⚽,
74', Livramento V. ↓, Burn D. ↑,
77', Botman S. 🟨,
78', Rayan ↓, Doak B. ↑,
80', Murphy J. 🟨,
82', Scott A. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Truffert A. ⚽, Evanilson (A),
86', Tonali S. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
89', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
89', Tavernier M. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
90+4', Petrovic D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Newcastle United
47.6%

Draw
24.8%

Bournemouth
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Newcastle United - Bournemouth Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)	3.92 ↓ (4.08)	3.49 ↓ (3.82)	3.4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Bournemouth?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.31) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Bournemouth (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
Newcastle has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bournemouth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Newcastle might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Muscle Injury) Joelinton (Yellow Cards) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bournemouth: Soler J. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Bournemouth?

Newcastle United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Newcastle United?

Bournemouth has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Bournemouth were as follows:

10.01.2026 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 4:3

21.09.2025 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 0:0

18.01.2025 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 1:4

25.08.2024 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 1:1

17.02.2024 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 2:2

Latest results of Newcastle United

12.04.2026 Crystal Palace - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Newcastle United - Sunderland 1:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Barcelona - Newcastle United 7:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Chelsea - Newcastle United 0:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Newcastle United - Barcelona 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Bournemouth

11.04.2026 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺

20.03.2026 Bournemouth - Manchester United 2:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Burnley - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Bournemouth - Brentford 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Bournemouth - Sunderland 1:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle United - Bournemouth?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Benin	Benin TV
Bolivia	ESPN
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Guinea	CIS
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv, K24
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	NTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Senegal	RTS 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 At Sea