Newcastle North Stars vs Adelaide Adrenaline: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Newcastle North Stars - Adelaide Adrenaline
Result
6:4
09/08/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Newcastle North Stars - Adelaide Adrenaline - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 3)
  • 02:34, 0 - 1, McGuiness M. (G), Nekludovs R. (A),
  • 08:01, 1 - 1, Tallberg K. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Taylor B. (A2)
  • 15:38, 1 - 2, McGuiness M. (G), Koudelka D. (A),
  • 16:43, 1 - 3, Friederich J. (G), Prevost C. (A),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 02:42, 1 - 4, Best S. (G), Flanagan D. (A),
  • 12:01, 2 - 4, Ellen H. (G), Kubara C. (A), Darge W. (A2)
  • 16:08, 3 - 4, Manwarring L. (G), Tallberg K. (A), Kubara C. (A2)
  • 19:51, 4 - 4, Klugerman R. (G), Darge W. (A), Hawes E. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 08:18, 5 - 4, Drolet F. (G), Tallberg K. (A), Darge W. (A2)
  • 12:38, 6 - 4, Taylor B. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Stanger T. (A2)

Chances of winning


Newcastle North Stars
63%
Draw
16.1%
Adelaide Adrenaline
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 13.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 13.2% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle North Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Adelaide Adrenaline has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Adrenaline than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Newcastle North Stars - Adelaide Adrenaline Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.35)
    5.89
    (6.5)
    4.54
    (4)
    5.4%
    (14.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 9.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
    • Newcastle is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Adelaide's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 134:62. (average 6.7:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 71:31. (average 7.1:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle North Stars - Adelaide Adrenaline were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Adelaide Adrenaline - Newcastle North Stars 3:7
    24.05.2025 Adelaide Adrenaline - Newcastle North Stars 2:9
    18.05.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Adelaide Adrenaline 6:1
    13.07.2024 Newcastle North Stars - Adelaide Adrenaline 2:3
    07.07.2024 Adelaide Adrenaline - Newcastle North Stars 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Bye
    2Newcastle (4)Brisbane Lightning (5)6 : 1
    3CBR Brave (2)Bye
    4Perth (3)Melbourne Mustangs (6)5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Newcastle (4)6 : 4
    2CBR Brave (2)Perth (3)6 : 1

    Final
    1Melbourne Ice (1)CBR Brave (2)7 : 3
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