South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights
Result
4:30
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 9
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
15
Conversion Goals
05
Conversion Goal Attempts
16
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
083
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
211201
Metres Run With Ball
19492137

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 18)
  • 4', Sharpe F. (Try),
  • 6', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 8', Sharpe F. (Try),
  • 10', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 14', Cogger J. (Try),
  • 15', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Tatola T. , Hubner L. ,
  • 22', Arrow J. , Moale D. ,
  • 23', Frizell T. , Elliott A. ,
  • 25', Saifiti J. , Croker M. ,
  • 29', Keppie S. , Le Blanc L. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 12)
  • 46', Best B. (Try),
  • 48', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 48', Thompson L. , Jones B. ,
  • 50', Crossland P. , Brailey J. ,
  • 51', Moale D. , Arrow J. ,
  • 61', Sharpe F. (Try),
  • 62', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Tass I. (Try),

Chances of winning


South Sydney Rabbitohs
39.3%
Draw
4.5%
Newcastle Knights
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 4.3% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 4.6% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Knights's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (1.74)
    20.43
    (21.75)
    1.67
    (2.23)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 3.
    • South Sydney has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newcastle has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • South Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that South Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 2.29.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 487:271. (average 30.4:16.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 325:160. (average 32.5:16).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    24.08.2024 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights 16:36
    20.08.2023 Newcastle Knights - South Sydney Rabbitohs 29:10
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders23194630:44444
    2Melbourne Storm23176657:42940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs23167528:39038
    4Brisbane Broncos23149650:49434
    5New Zealand Warriors23149491:46934
    6Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    7Penrith Panthers231210536:44931
    8Sydney Roosters231211617:51530
    9Manly Sea Eagles231112528:50828
    10Dolphins221012623:54226
    11Wests Tigers23914449:57624
    12Parramatta Eels23914436:56824
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57224
    14NQ Cowboys24914538:68423
    15St. George Illawarra Dragons23815478:58822
    16Newcastle Knights22616312:53218
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

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    Which TV channels are streaming of South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event
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