Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm
Result
14:32
12/07/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 19
Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
36
Conversion Goals
13
Conversion Goal Attempts
36
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
3357
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
185194
Metres Run With Ball
17191901

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (8 - 6)
  • 10', Meaney N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Young D. (Try),
  • 14', Hastings J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 28', Young D. (Try),
  • 29', Hastings J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 39', Katoa E. (Try),
  • 40', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 26)
  • 44', Loiero T. (Try),
  • 46', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 48', Bradley K. (Try),
  • 49', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 59', Loiero T. (Try),
  • 60', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Bradley K. (Try),
  • 63', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 71', Hunt F. (Try),
  • 72', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Katoa E. (Try),
  • 77', Pezet J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
26.6%
Draw
3.9%
Melbourne Storm
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 3.6% 74.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (4.23)
    23
    (26)
    1.33
    (1.25)
    8%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
    • Recent performances by Newcastle have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Melbourne is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 294:568. (average 14.7:28.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 134:248. (average 14.9:27.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    09.06.2024 Melbourne Storm - Newcastle Knights 36:28
    24.03.2024 Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm 14:12
    23.02.2024 Melbourne Storm - Newcastle Knights 28:10
    22.07.2023 Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm 26:18
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports, NRL
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
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