San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
139
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Long passes
63% (27/43)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)73% (103/141)
Crosses
38% (10/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.67
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
913
Tackles
80% (12/15)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5243
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.230.53
Goals prevented
0.230.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Forsberg E. , Stroud P. (A), Duncan K. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Vitor Costa ,
  • 59', Ngoma S. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 59', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 60', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 64', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 77', Martinez J. , Judd P. ,
  • 77', Harkes I. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 77', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,
  • 80', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 80', Edelman D. , Donkor R. ,
  • 86', Leroux B. , Kaye M. ,
  • 87', Edwards R. 🟥,
  • 90', Forsberg E. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+2', Donkor R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
48.9%
Draw
23.9%
New York Red Bulls
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 24.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.03)
    3.98
    (3.91)
    3.48
    (3.36)
    5.1%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Injury) Morgan L. (Muscle Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Lopez H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    08.04.2023 New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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