San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
139
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Long passes
63% (27/43)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)73% (103/141)
Crosses
38% (10/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.67
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
913
Tackles
80% (12/15)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5243
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.230.53
Goals prevented
0.230.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Forsberg E. , Stroud P. (A), Duncan K. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Vitor Costa ,
  • 59', Ngoma S. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 59', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 60', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 64', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 77', Martinez J. , Judd P. ,
  • 77', Harkes I. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 77', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,
  • 80', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 80', Edelman D. , Donkor R. ,
  • 86', Leroux B. , Kaye M. ,
  • 87', Edwards R. 🟥,
  • 90', Forsberg E. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+2', Donkor R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
48.9%
Draw
23.9%
New York Red Bulls
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 24.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.03)
    3.98
    (3.91)
    3.48
    (3.36)
    5.1%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Injury) Morgan L. (Muscle Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Lopez H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    08.04.2023 New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
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    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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