New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.92
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
813
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Long passes
35% (23/65)30% (24/79)
Passes in final third
52% (55/105)57% (78/136)
Crosses
29% (2/7)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.55
Throw-ins
2934
Fouls
138
Tackles
64% (7/11)83% (19/23)
Duels won
6665
Clearances
3823
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.920.62
Goals prevented
0.92-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Blake A. , Rick A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Donovan C. , Damiani B. ,
  • 58', Ngoma S. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 61', Uhre M. , Baribo T. ,
  • 61', Bedoya A. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 67', Damiani B. (Pen),
  • 74', 1 - 0, Nealis D. , Choupo-Moting E. M. (A), Forsberg E. (A2)
  • 77', Nealis D. 🟨,
  • 78', Bueno J. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 82', Forsberg E. , Hall J. ,
  • 90', Carmona W. , Nealis S. ,
  • 90', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+6', Bogacz W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
34.6%
Draw
26.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.9% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.61)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 50%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 0.
    • NY Red Bulls has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • NY Red Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Red Card) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Glesnes J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 3:2
    12.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    31.08.2024 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    06.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 0:0
    03.09.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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