New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.92
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
813
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Long passes
35% (23/65)30% (24/79)
Passes in final third
52% (55/105)57% (78/136)
Crosses
29% (2/7)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.55
Throw-ins
2934
Fouls
138
Tackles
64% (7/11)83% (19/23)
Duels won
6665
Clearances
3823
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.920.62
Goals prevented
0.92-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Blake A. , Rick A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Donovan C. , Damiani B. ,
  • 58', Ngoma S. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 61', Uhre M. , Baribo T. ,
  • 61', Bedoya A. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 67', Damiani B. (Pen),
  • 74', 1 - 0, Nealis D. , Choupo-Moting E. M. (A), Forsberg E. (A2)
  • 77', Nealis D. 🟨,
  • 78', Bueno J. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 82', Forsberg E. , Hall J. ,
  • 90', Carmona W. , Nealis S. ,
  • 90', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+6', Bogacz W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
34.6%
Draw
26.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.9% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.61)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 50%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 0.
    • NY Red Bulls has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • NY Red Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Red Card) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Glesnes J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 3:2
    12.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    31.08.2024 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    06.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 0:0
    03.09.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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