New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.92
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
813
Passes
70% (275/392)68% (251/371)
Long passes
35% (23/65)30% (24/79)
Passes in final third
52% (55/105)57% (78/136)
Crosses
29% (2/7)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.55
Throw-ins
2934
Fouls
138
Tackles
64% (7/11)83% (19/23)
Duels won
6665
Clearances
3823
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.920.62
Goals prevented
0.92-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Blake A. , Rick A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Donovan C. , Damiani B. ,
  • 58', Ngoma S. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 61', Uhre M. , Baribo T. ,
  • 61', Bedoya A. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 67', Damiani B. (Pen),
  • 74', 1 - 0, Nealis D. , Choupo-Moting E. M. (A), Forsberg E. (A2)
  • 77', Nealis D. 🟨,
  • 78', Bueno J. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 82', Forsberg E. , Hall J. ,
  • 90', Carmona W. , Nealis S. ,
  • 90', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+6', Bogacz W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
34.6%
Draw
26.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.9% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.61)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 50%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 0.
    • NY Red Bulls has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • NY Red Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Red Card) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Glesnes J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 3:2
    12.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    31.08.2024 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    06.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 0:0
    03.09.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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