New York City vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Cincinnati
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.01
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (355/428)82% (360/441)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.71
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
83% (355/428)82% (360/441)
Long passes
48% (24/50)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
81% (107/132)70% (70/100)
Crosses
17% (4/24)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.72
Throw-ins
2729
Fouls
1116
Tackles
80% (20/25)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5538
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.711.82
Goals prevented
0.710.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez J. ,
  • 12', Miazga M. 🟨,
  • 13', Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 26', Parks K. , Risa B. ,
  • 39', Freese M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Kubo Y. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 50', Hagglund N. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 53', Perea A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 69', Miazga M. , Flores G. ,
  • 72', Wolf H. 🟨,
  • 75', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 81', Orellano L. , Baird C. ,
  • 85', Fernandez J. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 85', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 90', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 90+3', Evander 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
41.2%
Draw
26.2%
Cincinnati
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28.2% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • New York City - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.32)
    3.63
    (3.46)
    2.92
    (2.95)
    5.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3.
    • Recent performances by NY City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • NY City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in NY City: Arroyave J. (Inactive) Ilenic M. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury) Kubo Y. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, NY City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Cincinnati were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1
    02.11.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:1
    28.10.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 1:0
    02.10.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:2
    05.08.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 4:2
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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