New York City vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Cincinnati
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.01
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (355/428)82% (360/441)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.71
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
83% (355/428)82% (360/441)
Long passes
48% (24/50)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
81% (107/132)70% (70/100)
Crosses
17% (4/24)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.72
Throw-ins
2729
Fouls
1116
Tackles
80% (20/25)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5538
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.711.82
Goals prevented
0.710.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez J. ,
  • 12', Miazga M. 🟨,
  • 13', Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 26', Parks K. , Risa B. ,
  • 39', Freese M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Kubo Y. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 50', Hagglund N. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 53', Perea A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 69', Miazga M. , Flores G. ,
  • 72', Wolf H. 🟨,
  • 75', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 81', Orellano L. , Baird C. ,
  • 85', Fernandez J. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 85', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 90', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 90+3', Evander 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
41.2%
Draw
26.2%
Cincinnati
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28.2% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • New York City - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.32)
    3.63
    (3.46)
    2.92
    (2.95)
    5.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3.
    • Recent performances by NY City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • NY City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in NY City: Arroyave J. (Inactive) Ilenic M. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury) Kubo Y. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, NY City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Cincinnati were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1
    02.11.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:1
    28.10.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 1:0
    02.10.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:2
    05.08.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 4:2
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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