Toronto FC vs New England Revolution: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - New England Revolution
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Toronto FC - New England Revolution - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.252.69
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (461/527)86% (431/502)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.252.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.053.56
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3034
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
69
Passes
87% (461/527)86% (431/502)
Long passes
64% (34/53)60% (34/57)
Passes in final third
85% (149/176)74% (108/145)
Crosses
32% (7/22)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.152.00
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
96
Tackles
47% (9/19)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4957
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.560.05
Goals prevented
1.560.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Gil C. ,
  • 26', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Campana L. , Yusuf A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Brynhildsen O. , Spicer T. ,
  • 46', Rosted S. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 57', Longstaff M. , Insigne L. ,
  • 66', Gomis N. , Franklin K. ,
  • 74', Miller P. , Sands W. ,
  • 74', Ganago I. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 81', Feingold I. , Bye B. ,
  • 81', Campana L. , Langoni L. ,
  • 88', Gil C. , Urruti M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
39.6%
Draw
29.2%
New England Revolution
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.8% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Toronto FC - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.29)
    3.28
    (3.37)
    3.05
    (3.17)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). New England will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Recent performances by Toronto have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • New England is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Etienne D. (Lower-Body Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in New England: Fry M. (Leg Injury) Omsberg W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Farrell A. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New England Revolution were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Toronto FC - New England Revolution 1:0
    03.03.2024 New England Revolution - Toronto FC 0:1
    24.06.2023 New England Revolution - Toronto FC 2:1
    06.05.2023 Toronto FC - New England Revolution 0:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2175924:30-626
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    11Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    12FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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