DC United vs New England Revolution: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS DC United - New England Revolution
Result
1:1
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
DC United - New England Revolution - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
77% (357/464)77% (329/427)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.82
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2919
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
77% (357/464)77% (329/427)
Long passes
36% (26/72)39% (29/74)
Passes in final third
69% (98/142)58% (50/86)
Crosses
13% (2/16)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.80
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1412
Tackles
77% (10/13)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4563
Clearances
2036
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.820.78
Goals prevented
0.82-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Polster M. 🟨,
  • 40', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Feingold I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dodson D. , Schnegg D. ,
  • 66', Antley C. , Leal R. ,
  • 67', Feingold I. , Miller P. ,
  • 67', Chancalay T. , Diaz L. ,
  • 73', Kijima H. , Stroud J. ,
  • 73', Murrell J. , Fletcher K. ,
  • 81', Peglow , Gabriel Pirani ,
  • 82', Ganago I. , Urruti M. ,
  • 84', Fofana M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pirani ,
  • 90+2', Rowles K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Boris Enow 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


DC United
36.3%
Draw
28.4%
New England Revolution
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 26.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that DC United's form might have worsened.
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DC United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • DC United - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.16)
    3.36
    (3.61)
    2.7
    (3.22)
    5.1%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for DC United - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). New England will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. DC United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New England may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in DC United: Badji D. (Thigh Injury) Benteke C. (Ankle Injury) MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in New England: Langoni L. (Muscle Injury) Sands W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Leal R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Campana L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.5:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - New England Revolution were as follows:
    05.10.2024 New England Revolution - DC United 1:2
    24.02.2024 DC United - New England Revolution 3:1
    15.07.2023 New England Revolution - DC United 4:0
    25.03.2023 DC United - New England Revolution 1:2
    Latest results of DC United
    21.05.2025 DC United - Charlotte 4:3
    17.05.2025 Nashville SC - DC United 0:0
    14.05.2025 DC United - New York City 0:0
    10.05.2025 Toronto FC - DC United 2:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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