St. Louis City vs Nashville SC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - Nashville SC
Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
St. Louis City - Nashville SC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.16
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
84% (314/373)89% (454/511)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.771.53
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2631
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
88
Passes
84% (314/373)89% (454/511)
Long passes
64% (30/47)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
65% (52/80)80% (123/154)
Crosses
0% (0/9)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.331.20
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
99
Tackles
50% (9/18)52% (13/25)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
1719
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.532.77
Goals prevented
0.53-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Orozco J. , Padelford D. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Joao Klauss , Lowen E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Morales A. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez J. , Qasem A. ,
  • 62', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 62', Tagseth E. , Muyl A. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Jeong S. ,
  • 70', Ostrak T. , Joyner M. ,
  • 70', Jeong S. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 74', Surridge S. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 74', Meyer W. , Bauer J. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Mukhtar H. (Pen),
  • 86', Morales A. , Watts A. ,
  • 86', Hartel M. , Girdwood-Reich J. ,
  • 90', Yazbek P. , Shaffelburg J. ,
  • 90+3', Joyner M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Muyl A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
29.7%
Draw
25.6%
Nashville SC
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 24.6% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 24.2% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • St. Louis City - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (3.3)
    3.69
    (3.85)
    2.11
    (2.02)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nashville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nashville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Red Card) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Schmitt T. (Hamstring Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Nashville SC were as follows:
    17.06.2023 Nashville SC - St. Louis City 3:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10New York City24115834:29538
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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