New York City vs Nashville SC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Nashville SC
Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
New York City - Nashville SC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.88
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Long passes
36% (12/33)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)58% (32/55)
Crosses
7% (1/14)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.73
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (18/24)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
1022
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.880.90
Goals prevented
-0.12-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Shaffelburg J. , Mukhtar H. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Perea A. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 58', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 64', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 68', Perez J. , Carleton A. ,
  • 73', Tagseth E. , Brugman G. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Martinez A. , Ojeda A. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 80', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 80', Maher J. , Zimmerman W. ,
  • 80', Shaffelburg J. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 82', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 82', Surridge S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez A. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+4', Perea A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
38.9%
Draw
27.1%
Nashville SC
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 27.7% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • New York City - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.25)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    2.8
    (3.1)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY City: Thiago Martins (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Muyl A. (Yellow Cards) Schmitt T. (Hamstring Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Gray T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Nashville SC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2
    06.10.2024 New York City - Nashville SC 3:1
    22.06.2024 Nashville SC - New York City 1:0
    15.04.2023 New York City - Nashville SC 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nashville SC - New York City 2:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Nashville SC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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