Napoli vs Cagliari: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Napoli - Cagliari
Result
2:0
23/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 38
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
Napoli - Cagliari - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.08
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
91% (532/583)82% (241/295)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.590.17
Total shots
184
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
162
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
336
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
91% (532/583)82% (241/295)
Long passes
58% (21/36)32% (12/38)
Passes in final third
80% (90/113)63% (35/56)
Crosses
19% (5/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.16
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
1414
Tackles
78% (7/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.172.59
Goals prevented
0.170.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Makoumbou A. 🟨,
  • 31', Politano M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, McTominay S. , Politano M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Lukaku R. , Rrahmani A. (A),
  • 52', Lukaku R. 🟨,
  • 57', Zortea N. , Palomino J. L. ,
  • 57', Viola N. , Mutandwa K. ,
  • 57', Makoumbou A. , Marin R. ,
  • 61', Politano M. , David Neres ,
  • 74', Augello T. , Obert A. ,
  • 76', Lukaku R. , Simeone G. ,
  • 82', Sherri A. , Ciocci G. ,
  • 85', Spinazzola L. , Mazzocchi P. ,
  • 85', Raspadori G. , Billing P. ,
  • 85', Anguissa F. , Ngonge C. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
81.4%
Draw
12.9%
Cagliari
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.9% 18.3% 5.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.
  • The chances for Cagliari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Napoli - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.28)
    7.53
    (5.32)
    16.92
    (16.75)
    4%
    (2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Napoli - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 44 - 86.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 76.9%95.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Napoli is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.
    • Napoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cagliari's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Napoli is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Juan Jesus (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:12. (average 2.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Cagliari were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 0:4
    25.02.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1
    16.12.2023 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    18.05.2025 Parma - Napoli 0:0
    11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2
    03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    27.04.2025 Napoli - Torino 2:0
    19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    18.05.2025 Cagliari - Venezia 3:0
    10.05.2025 Como - Cagliari 3:1
    03.05.2025 Cagliari - Udinese 1:2
    28.04.2025 Verona - Cagliari 0:2
    23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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