Napoli vs Cagliari: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Napoli - Cagliari
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 2
  • Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
Napoli - Cagliari - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.52
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
130
Passes
90% (554/614)82% (253/310)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.01
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
130
Touches in opposition box
389
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
90% (554/614)82% (253/310)
Long passes
80% (16/20)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
77% (134/174)60% (26/43)
Crosses
14% (6/42)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.36
Throw-ins
235
Fouls
1612
Tackles
75% (3/4)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3048
Clearances
741
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.011.04
Goals prevented
0.010.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Zappa G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', De Bruyne K. 🟨,
  • 58', Zappa G. , Luvumbo Z. ,
  • 65', Prati M. , Gaetano G. ,
  • 66', Esposito Se. , Borrelli G. ,
  • 67', Juan Jesus 🟨,
  • 68', Juan Jesus , Buongiorno A. ,
  • 75', Lucca L. , Ambrosino G. ,
  • 81', De Bruyne K. , Lang N. ,
  • 81', Spinazzola L. , Olivera M. ,
  • 83', Folorunsho M. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 83', Palestra M. , Di Pardo A. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Anguissa F. , Buongiorno A. (A),

Chances of winning


Napoli
65.6%
Draw
23.3%
Cagliari
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.1% 18.1% 8.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napoli's form might have worsened.
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Napoli - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.31)
    4.23
    (5.28)
    9.09
    (10.95)
    0.4%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Napoli - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 41 - 89.1%). Cagliari will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 80.1%98.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.
    • Napoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cagliari is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cagliari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Napoli has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Napoli is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Pavoletti L. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:12. (average 2.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Cagliari were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 2:0
    15.09.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 0:4
    25.02.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1
    16.12.2023 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    23.08.2025 Sassuolo - Napoli 0:2
    10.08.2025 Napoli - Sorrento 4:0
    09.08.2025 Napoli - Girona 3:2
    04.08.2025 Napoli - Casertana 1:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1
    16.08.2025 Cagliari - Virtus Entella 2:1
    02.08.2025 Cagliari - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli22003:036
    2Juventus22003:036
    3Cremonese22005:326
    4AS Roma22002:026
    5Udinese21103:214
    6Inter21016:243
    7Lazio21014:223
    8AC Milan21013:213
    9Como21012:113
    10Bologna21011:103
    11Atalanta20202:202
    12Fiorentina20201:102
    13Pisa20111:2-11
    14Cagliari20111:2-11
    15Genoa20110:1-11
    16Parma20111:3-21
    17Lecce20110:2-21
    18Verona20111:5-41
    19Torino20110:5-51
    20Sassuolo20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Cagliari?
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