Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 11
Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.250.71
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
08
Passes
63% (168/265)83% (450/539)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.250.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.830.37
Total shots
613
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
08
Touches in opposition box
827
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
63% (168/265)83% (450/539)
Long passes
22% (13/60)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
51% (53/104)66% (88/134)
Crosses
27% (3/11)33% (12/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.83
Fouls
1810
Tackles
56% (5/9)86% (6/7)
Duels won
5346
Clearances Total
4422
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.370.83
Goals prevented
-0.63-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Mateus ,
  • 41', Mateus 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Mateus , Morishima T. (A),
  • 59', Morishima T. , Hara T. ,
  • 61', Tanaka S. , Maeda N. ,
  • 61', Higashi S. , Suga D. ,
  • 64', Nakano S. 🟨,
  • 71', Nagai K. 🟨,
  • 75', Shiotani T. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 75', Maeda N. , Inoue S. ,
  • 76', Nagai K. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Suga D. , Nakamura S. (A),
  • 87', Tokumoto S. , Ono M. ,
  • 87', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
22.6%
Draw
29.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 29.7% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 29.7% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (3.94)
    3.22
    (3.15)
    1.96
    (2.02)
    6.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Nagoya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Hiroshima have a series of home games.
    • In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:26 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    04.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    17.08.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    06.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 2:3
    30.09.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 3:1
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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