Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus
Result
1:2
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.33
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
79% (378/478)63% (183/290)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.24
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2613
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
916
Passes
79% (378/478)63% (183/290)
Long passes
37% (24/65)32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
74% (134/180)51% (45/89)
Crosses
28% (7/25)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.49
Throw-ins
3022
Fouls
169
Tackles
100% (8/8)46% (6/13)
Duels won
3956
Clearances
2935
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.240.72
Goals prevented
-0.76-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Mateus , Morishima T. (A),
  • 32', Nakamura S. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Mateus , Inagaki S. (A),
  • 44', Nogami Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mateus , Nagai K. ,
  • 46', Kinoshita K. , Nakajima Y. ,
  • 46', Higashi S. 🟨,
  • 50', Morishima T. 🟨,
  • 55', Morishima T. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 58', Kato M. , Maeda N. ,
  • 58', Higashi S. , Suga D. ,
  • 71', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 76', Nakamura S. , Ohara M. ,
  • 81', Pisano A. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Arai N. ,
  • 90+4', Tokumoto S. , Kawazura A. ,
  • 90+4', Yamagishi Y. , Mori S. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
52.9%
Draw
26.5%
Nagoya Grampus
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 29.7% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 29.3% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanfrecce Hiroshima's performance.
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.09)
    3.54
    (3.22)
    4.61
    (3.91)
    5.6%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Recently, Nagoya has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S. (Inactive) Sato Y. (Yellow Cards) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1
    08.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    04.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    17.08.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    06.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 2:3
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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