São Paulo vs Nacional Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo
Result
2:0
22/08/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
1313
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
811
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
24
Offsides
31
Throw-ins
822
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Fouls
88
Attacks
11493
Dangerous Attacks
2436

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Bobadilla D. , Jonathan Calleri (A),
  • 44', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Coates S. , Izquierdo J. ,
  • 46', Castro A. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Jonathan Calleri , Wellington Rato (A),
  • 65', Sanabria L. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 66', Zabala D. , Lopez N. ,
  • 72', Bentancourt R. , Herazo D. ,
  • 77', Wellington Rato , Rodrigo Nestor ,
  • 90+1', Izquierdo J. , Velazquez E. ,
  • 90+10', Luciano , Marcos Antonio ,
  • 90+10', Lucas Moura , Andre Silva ,
  • 90+13', Baez Corradi G. 🟨,
  • 90+14', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
  • 90+15', Lozano L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
57.5%
Draw
26.9%
Nacional Montevideo
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 24.9% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 24% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.5)
    3.52
    (3.8)
    6.02
    (8)
    5.7%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 47.5%89.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
    • Recent matches São Paulo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    15.08.2024 Nacional Montevideo - São Paulo 0:0
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
    Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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