Result
2:0
22/08/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 114 | 93 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Bobadilla D. ⚽, Jonathan Calleri (A),
- 44', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Coates S. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
- 46', Castro A. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Wellington Rato (A),
- 65', Sanabria L. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 66', Zabala D. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 72', Bentancourt R. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
- 77', Wellington Rato ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
- 90+1', Izquierdo J. ↓, Velazquez E. ↑,
- 90+10', Luciano ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 90+10', Lucas Moura ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 90+13', Baez Corradi G. 🟨,
- 90+14', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
- 90+15', Lozano L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
57.5% | Draw
26.9% | Nacional Montevideo
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4%)
São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.5) |
3.52 ↓
(3.8) |
6.02 ↓
(8) |
5.7%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 47.5% – 89.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Nacional Montevideo?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against São Paulo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
15.08.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
São Paulo
0:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Nacional Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Fox Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Sporty TV |
 North-central-america | ESPN 5 Norte, ESPNPlay Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app |
