Nacional Montevideo vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
1:1
09/02/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
72
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
30
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Oliva C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Silvera M. ,
  • 53', Rodriguez N. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 58', Lucas Hernandez , Cabrera J. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Recoba J. ,
  • 71', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 71', Recoba J. , Otero R. ,
  • 73', Suarez D. , Milans P. ,
  • 74', Baez J. , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 82', Lopez N. 🟨,
  • 86', Lopez N. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 86', Silvera M. , Machado A. ,
  • 89', Fernandez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
38.2%
Draw
30.2%
Peñarol de Montevideo
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 30.5% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 27.4% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.36)
    3.03
    (2.98)
    2.94
    (2.95)
    8.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4.
    • Recent matches Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Peñarol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Nacional have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:17 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:13 (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    20.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 3:1
    06.10.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    04.08.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    29.03.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 0:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool M1485121:91229
    2Nacional1484233:151828
    3Juventud1483321:14727
    4Defensor Sp1473416:10624
    5Racing Montevideo1464413:9422
    6Penarol1363416:15121
    7Cerro Largo1456315:15021
    8Boston River1463516:17-121
    9Plaza Colonia1454512:11119
    10Montevideo City1445515:20-517
    11Progreso1436516:25-915
    12CA Cerro1335512:17-514
    13Miramar1432915:23-811
    14River Plate1424810:19-910
    15Wanderers1416711:17-69
    16Danubio1409510:16-69

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