Result
06/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
30.7% | Draw
31.4% | Nacional Montevideo
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.23) |
2.94 ↓
(3.04) |
2.46 ↓
(3.52) |
7.9%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 0.
- Peñarol is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nacional is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nacional could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
09.02.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
26.01.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
20.01.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
3:1
06.10.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
04.08.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Torneo IntermedioGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | River Plate | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Juventud | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Miramar | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
