Result
18/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 15
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Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
59.8% | Draw
23.6% | Defensor Sporting
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+3%)
Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.75) |
3.97 ↑
(3.46) |
5.58 ↑
(4.52) |
7.4%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defensor Sporting has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Nacional Montevideo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Nacional Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
06.12.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:3
21.09.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
10.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:3
04.12.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
07.05.2023
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool M | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 33:15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Juventud | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensor Sp | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Penarol | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 24 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 | Boston River | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Plaza Colonia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:11 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Montevideo City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Progreso | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | CA Cerro | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Miramar | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | River Plate | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10:20 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Danubio | 14 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
