Montevideo City Torque vs Defensor Sporting: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting
Result
1:0
03/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.400.28
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
83
Passes
70% (202/287)74% (287/390)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
0.400.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.20
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
34
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1413
Passes
70% (202/287)74% (287/390)
Long passes
40% (31/77)36% (20/56)
Passes in final third
64% (72/113)45% (41/92)
Crosses
20% (4/20)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.25
Throw ins
2325
Fouls
1314
Tackles
50% (6/12)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5658
Clearances
3635
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.200.91
Goals prevented
0.20-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Agazzi L. 🟨,
  • 39', Barrios G. , Caballero M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Romero F. ,
  • 52', Silvera F. 🟨,
  • 58', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 69', Medina N. , Torterolo A. ,
  • 69', de los Santos L. , Lozano B. ,
  • 70', Lecchini R. , Quintana J. ,
  • 71', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 🟨,
  • 73', Montes G. 🟨,
  • 78', Montes G. , Silva K. ,
  • 82', De los Santos G. , Rodriguez V. ,
  • 82', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. , Navarro L. ,
  • 89', Pizzichillo F. , Caceres S. ,
  • 89', Siles P. , Kociubinski B. ,
  • 89', Torterolo A. 🟨,
  • 90', Obregon E. 🟨,
  • 90', Obregon E. , Dure L. ,
  • 90+4', Torgnascioli F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montevideo City Torque
42.7%
Draw
31.3%
Defensor Sporting
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 31% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 30.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.39)
    3.01
    (2.96)
    3.62
    (2.99)
    5.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting?
    • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 2.
    • Montevideo City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Defensor Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Montevideo City could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
    26.02.2026 Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting 1:0
    24.10.2025 Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque 0:1
    27.04.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting 0:1
    22.05.2024 Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting 2:3
    13.10.2023 Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque 2:0
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta1 : 2
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion0 : 1
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso2 : 0
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar2 : 1
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.1 : 0
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo1 : 0
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas1 : 0
    8CaracasMetropolitanos1 : 0
    9U. De ChilePalestino1 : 2
    10CobresalA. Italiano1 : 2
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios1 : 3
    12America De CaliBucaramanga2 : 1
    13IndependienteGuabira1 : 0
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo3 : 0
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad3 : 0
    16OrenseMacara0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    italyItalyComo TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
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