Unión Santa Fe vs Mushuc Runa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa
Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.02
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
268
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
81% (379/467)57% (110/192)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.95
Total shots
268
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
81% (379/467)57% (110/192)
Long passes
51% (23/45)49% (36/74)
Passes in final third
73% (137/188)54% (52/96)
Crosses
32% (14/44)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.97
Throw-ins
2714
Fouls
1317
Tackles
67% (12/18)73% (11/15)
Duels won
7557
Clearances
3048
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.950.90
Goals prevented
-0.050.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', Mina G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Orejuela C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fragapane F. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
  • 53', Tapiero S. 🟨,
  • 63', Orejuela C. 🟨,
  • 66', Miranda B. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
  • 71', Orejuela C. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
  • 71', Colazo A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
  • 72', Arce L. 🟨,
  • 74', Fascendini V. 🟨,
  • 77', Paz N. ↓, Estigarribia M. ↑,
  • 86', Gamba L. ↓, Lavezzi T. ↑,
  • 87', Vargas L. ↓, Gerometta F. ↑,
  • 90', Caicedo E. ↓, Gracia A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Penilla C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
63%		Draw
23.7%		Mushuc Runa
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 24.1% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 22% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.48 ↑
    (1.48)    		 3.99 ↑
    (3.89)    		 7.1 ↓
    (7.62)    		 6.6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Mushuc Runa (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Unión has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mushuc Runa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Unión is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    07.05.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Palestino 1:2 ✺
    02.05.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 1:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe 2:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    10.05.2025 Manta - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺
    07.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro 1:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 4:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa 2:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0 ✺
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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