Result
3:2
03/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (152/220) | 68% (204/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (152/220) | 68% (204/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 38% (26/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/113) | 59% (57/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 59 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 45 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Orejuela C. 🟨,
- 39', Meza F. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Haquin L. ⚽, Simisterra R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Caicedo E. ↓, Bryan Angulo ↑,
- 60', Davila E. 🟨,
- 63', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 63', Benitez J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 67', Orejuela C. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Carrasco B. (A),
- 73', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 74', Haquin L. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Simisterra R. ⚽, Tapiero S. (A),
- 80', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽, Bryan Angulo (A),
- 85', Gracia A. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 86', Simisterra R. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 90+1', Ceza Gavilan A. A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Carrasco B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
56.5% | Draw
25% | Palestino
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Mushuc Runa - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.73) |
3.75 ↑
(3.59) |
5.05 ↑
(4.77) |
6.6%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Palestino?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is Mushuc Runa will win! (11 of 12 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Mushuc Runa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Palestino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palestino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Mushuc Runa have a series of home games.
- Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.
- In this match Mushuc Runa is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Palestino?
Mushuc Runa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Mushuc Runa?
Palestino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Palestino were as follows:
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Palestino
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Independiente | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Guarani | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Nacional Potosi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Boston River | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Catolica ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Vitoria | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Gremio | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Grau | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Palestino ✔ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Once Caldas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 | U. Espanola | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 3 | Vasco | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Caracas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Deportes Iquique | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
U. Catolica is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Mushuc Runa is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Palestino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Mushuc Runa - Palestino?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
