Morecambe vs Salford City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe).

: League Two - Round 44
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	3.25
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
13	30
Shots on target
2	13
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	10
Passes
65% (163/249)	77% (227/295)
Yellow Cards
4	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	3.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	2.39
Total shots
13	30
Shots on target
2	13
Shots off target
5	12
Blocked Shots
6	5
Shots inside the Box
10	21
Shots outside the Box
3	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	10
Touches in opposition box
21	41
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
15	15
Passes
65% (163/249)	77% (227/295)
Long passes
33% (21/63)	54% (34/63)
Passes in final third
56% (44/79)	71% (100/140)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	1.80
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
71% (12/17)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
50	71
Clearances Total
29	39
Interceptions
3	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
10	1
xGOT faced
2.39	0.90
Goals prevented
-0.61	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Ashley O. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Stockton C. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mnoga H. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Songo'o Y. ⚽,
59', Lewis A. 🟨,
66', Dallas A. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
66', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
67', White T. 🟨,
76', Lewis P. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
83', Tollitt B. ↓, Fairclough A. ↑,
83', Angol L. ↓, Whaite B. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, N'Mai K. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
89', Adelakun H. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
90', Woodburn B. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
90+3', Fairclough A. 🟨,
90+4', Ashley O. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
90+4', Stockton C. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Morecambe
27.1%

Draw
26.8%

Salford City
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Morecambe - Salford City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3)	3.5 ↑ (3.32)	2.05 ↓ (2.32)	6.3% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Morecambe - Salford City?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Salford will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Salford (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Salford City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Salford will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Tutonda D. (Red Card)
There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Kouassi K. (Injury) McAleny C. (Injury) Negru S. (Inactive) Okoronkwo F. (Injury)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Millen R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Salford: Shephard L. (Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Salford City?

Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Morecambe?

Salford City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Salford City were as follows:

29.12.2024 Salford City - Morecambe 1:0

17.03.2024 Salford City - Morecambe 3:1

02.09.2023 Morecambe - Salford City 1:0

Latest results of Morecambe

18.04.2025 Bromley - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Salford City

18.04.2025 Salford City - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Salford City - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Notts County - Salford City 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Salford City - Gillingham 2:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Barrow - Salford City 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Morecambe - Salford City?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+