Montpellier vs Le Havre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Montpellier - Le Havre
Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Montpellier - Le Havre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.29
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
90% (447/498)84% (347/414)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.67
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1818
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
715
Passes
90% (447/498)84% (347/414)
Long passes
69% (37/54)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
81% (123/152)68% (51/75)
Crosses
22% (6/27)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.65
Fouls
157
Tackles
57% (12/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4760
Clearances Total
1631
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.671.31
Goals prevented
-1.331.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Kechta Y. ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Toure A. , Casimir J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Sacko F. , Ndollo Bille W. ,
  • 57', Chotard J. , Fayad K. ,
  • 57', Coulibaly T. , Maamma O. ,
  • 64', Kechta Y. , Soumare I. ,
  • 64', Casimir J. , Diawara M. ,
  • 65', Delort A. , Khazri W. ,
  • 74', Joujou A. , Ayew A. ,
  • 85', Koka , Ndiaye R. ,
  • 85', Sangante A. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 88', Sagnan M. , Cara S. ,
  • 90+1', Khazri W. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gorgelin M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Meite A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Montpellier 37.8%Draw 28.2%Le Havre 34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Montpellier 40.9%Draw 27.2%Le Havre 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Montpellier 42.6%Draw 26.1%Le Havre 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Montpellier - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.33)
    3.37
    (3.51)
    2.8
    (3)
    5.1%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 3
  • What is the prediction for Montpellier - Le Havre?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Montpellier has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Le Havre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Dzodic S. (Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Omeragic B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Zouaoui Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F. (Inactive) Sangante A. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Le Havre to win the game is with odds 2.79.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Le Havre were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Le Havre - Montpellier 1:0
    31.03.2024 Le Havre - Montpellier 0:2
    13.08.2023 Montpellier - Le Havre 2:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    30.03.2025 Auxerre - Montpellier 1:0
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    02.03.2025 Montpellier - Rennes 0:4
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0
    16.02.2025 Montpellier - Lyon 1:4
    Latest results of Le Havre
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Montpellier - Le Havre?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 4, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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