Monaco vs Lyon, French Ligue 1: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Monaco - Lyon
Result
1:3
03/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
Monaco - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.42
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (299/366)85% (409/480)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.883.22
Total shots
613
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
82% (299/366)85% (409/480)
Long passes
57% (26/46)54% (21/39)
Passes in final third
67% (64/96)80% (94/118)
Crosses
4% (1/24)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.95
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1412
Tackles
62% (8/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
3.220.88
Goals prevented
0.22-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Kehrer T. 🟨,
  • 12', Hradecky L. , Kohn P. ,
  • 35', Mata C. 🟨,
  • 36', Mawissa C. , Ouattara K. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Sulc P. , Tagliafico N. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Coulibaly M. , Balogun F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', Pocognoli S. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Sulc P. , Maitland-Niles A. (A),
  • 66', Merah K. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 70', Kluivert R. 🟨,
  • 70', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • 71', Coulibaly M. 🟥,
  • 77', Biereth M. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 77', Golovin A. , Idumbo S. ,
  • 79', Balogun F. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Abner Vinicius , Tagliafico N. (A),
  • 81', Sulc P. , Karabec A. ,
  • 81', Abner Vinicius , Mangala O. ,
  • 90+3', Tolisso C. , Satriano M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y4t4vsyc

Chances of winning


Monaco
46.1%
Draw
25.4%
Lyon
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 23.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 24.4% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Monaco - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.92)
    3.76
    (4.02)
    3.34
    (3.46)
    4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Lyon?
    • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Lyon will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 30%70%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lyon (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH -0.5 - Lyon (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
    • Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lyon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Lyon has had a series of home games.
    • Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (International duty) Diatta K. (International duty) Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Zakaria D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Endrick (Inactive) Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Niakhate M. (International duty) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Lyon were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Monaco - Lyon 2:0
    24.08.2024 Lyon - Monaco 0:2
    28.04.2024 Lyon - Monaco 3:2
    15.12.2023 Monaco - Lyon 0:1
    19.05.2023 Lyon - Monaco 3:1
    Latest results of Monaco
    21.12.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2
    09.12.2025 Monaco - Galatasaray 1:0
    05.12.2025 Brest - Monaco 1:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    21.12.2025 Lyon - Saint-Cyr Collonges 3:0
    14.12.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 1:0
    11.12.2025 Lyon - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1
    07.12.2025 Lorient - Lyon 1:0
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG25183454:223257
    2Lens25182548:212756
    3Marseille25144752:331946
    4Lyon25144740:271346
    5Rennes25127642:35743
    6Lille25125838:32641
    7Monaco25124943:37640
    8Strasbourg25106940:31936
    9Brest25106934:34036
    10Lorient25810735:39-434
    11Angers25951123:30-732
    12Toulouse25871033:29431
    13Paris FC25691029:41-1227
    14Le Havre25681120:32-1226
    15Nice25661330:48-1824
    16Auxerre25471419:35-1619
    17Nantes25451622:42-2017
    18Metz25341822:56-3413

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monaco - Lyon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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