Lens vs Monaco, French Ligue 1: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Lens - Monaco
Result
4:0
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Lens - Monaco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.40
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
85% (373/439)87% (473/544)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.960.16
Total shots
156
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
914
Passes
85% (373/439)87% (473/544)
Long passes
56% (24/43)33% (9/27)
Passes in final third
72% (69/96)65% (64/99)
Crosses
27% (4/15)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.65
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
149
Tackles
53% (10/19)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1115
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.162.96
Goals prevented
0.16-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, El Aynaoui N. , Mendy N. (A),
  • 43', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Diatta K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Teze J. , Vanderson ,
  • 52', Magassa S. 🟥,
  • 56', 2 - 0, El Aynaoui N. ,
  • 66', Diatta K. , Bouabre S. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Thomasson A. , Aguilar R. (A),
  • 74', Ilenikhena G. , Michal L. ,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Zaroury A. , Diouf A. (A),
  • 80', Koyalipou G. , Satriano M. ,
  • 80', Diouf A. , Sotoca F. ,
  • 80', Aguilar R. , Pouilly T. ,
  • 83', Minamino T. , Zakaria D. ,
  • 83', Ben Seghir E. , Akliouche M. ,
  • 88', El Aynaoui N. , Said W. ,
  • 90', Medina F. , Sarr M. ,

Chances of winning


Lens
34.6%
Draw
25.1%
Monaco
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 24.1% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 24% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.
  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lens - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (3.56)
    3.79
    (3.92)
    2.36
    (1.92)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Lens - Monaco?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Monaco will win! (68 of 79 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Monaco is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 1.
    • Recent performances by Lens have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Monaco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Machado D. (Muscle Injury) Nzola M. (Knee Injury) Petric D. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Al Musrati (Calf Injury) Balogun F. (Injury) Golovin A. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.4:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Monaco were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Monaco - Lens 1:1
    25.02.2024 Lens - Monaco 2:3
    07.01.2024 Lens - Monaco 2:3
    02.09.2023 Monaco - Lens 3:0
    22.04.2023 Lens - Monaco 3:0
    Latest results of Lens
    10.05.2025 Toulouse - Lens 1:1
    04.05.2025 Lyon - Lens 1:2
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3
    11.04.2025 Lens - Reims 0:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    10.05.2025 Monaco - Lyon 2:0
    03.05.2025 Saint-Étienne - Monaco 1:3
    26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1
    19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz
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