Benfica vs Monaco, UEFA Champions League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Benfica - Monaco
Result
3:3
18/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
Benfica - Monaco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.26
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1015
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
03
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
23
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
914
Offsides
14
Fouls
149
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
3017
Touches in the Opposition Box
2127
Passes
76% (255/337)85% (432/510)
Passes in the final third
62% (62/100)73% (98/135)
Crosses
30% (3/10)38% (6/16)
Tackles
67% (12/18)73% (16/22)
Clearances Total
2927
Interceptions
819

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Pavlidis V. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Minamino T. , Embolo B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Ben Seghir E. , Akliouche M. (A),
  • 58', Schjelderup A. , Dahl S. ,
  • 58', Akturkoglu K. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 62', Akliouche M. 🟨,
  • 65', Embolo B. , Biereth M. ,
  • 67', Barreiro L. 🟨,
  • 71', Amdouni Z. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Pavlidis V. (Pen),
  • 80', Caio Henrique , Ouattara K. ,
  • 80', Mawissa Elebi C. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Kokcu O. , Carreras A. (A),
  • 87', Minamino T. , Michal L. ,
  • 87', Pavlidis V. , Belotti A. ,
  • 87', Kokcu O. , Rego J. ,

Chances of winning


Benfica
51.7%
Draw
23%
Monaco
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.6% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Benfica - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.08)
    4.21
    (3.56)
    3.81
    (3.86)
    3.5%
    (2.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 60 - 78.9%). Monaco will win (votes: 9 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 69.7%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Benfica in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Monaco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.
    • Benfica will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Injury) Aursnes F. (Knee Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Inactive) Di Maria A. (Muscle Injury) Florentino (Yellow Cards) Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Al Musrati (Red Card) Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Golovin A. (Groin Injury) Vanderson (Yellow Cards) Zakaria D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Ilenikhena G. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Benfica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Monaco were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    27.11.2024 Monaco - Benfica 2:3
    Latest results of Benfica
    15.02.2025 Santa Clara - Benfica 0:1
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    08.02.2025 Benfica - Moreirense 3:2
    29.01.2025 Juventus - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    15.02.2025 Monaco - Nantes 7:1
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    01.02.2025 Monaco - Auxerre 4:2
    29.01.2025 Inter Milan - Monaco 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Benfica - Monaco?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 5
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