Monaco vs Aston Villa, UEFA Champions League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Monaco - Aston Villa
Result
1:0
21/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Monaco - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.00
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
47
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Free Kicks
1414
Offsides
42
Fouls
1414
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
920
Touches in the Opposition Box
2830
Passes
76% (241/319)84% (427/511)
Passes in the final third
63% (58/92)67% (85/126)
Crosses
36% (4/11)10% (2/20)
Tackles
55% (11/20)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
4113
Interceptions
1811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Singo W. ⚽, Kehrer T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 56', Bailey L. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
  • 65', Camara L. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
  • 65', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
  • 67', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 78', Minamino T. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
  • 78', Zakaria D. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
  • 82', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 86', Buendia E. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Golovin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
36.7%		Draw
27.6%		Aston Villa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 26.4% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 27.2% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Monaco - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↑
    (2.16)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.61)    		 2.7 ↓
    (3.26)    		 4.2%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 19 - 30.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 26 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 27.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 29.6% – 54.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Monaco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aston Villa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Monaco have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Diatta K. (Injury) Ilenikhena G. (Groin Injury) Singo W. (Back Injury) Zakaria D. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Diego Carlos (Yellow Cards) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Monaco
    17.01.2025 Montpellier - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    14.01.2025 Reims - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2025 Nantes - Monaco 2:2 ✺
    05.01.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:0 ✺
    22.12.2024 L`Union Saint Jean - Monaco 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    18.01.2025 Arsenal - Aston Villa 2:2 ✺
    15.01.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2025 Aston Villa - West Ham United 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2025 Aston Villa - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
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