Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 0.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
82% (324/394) | 83% (372/450) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 0.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.55 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
82% (324/394) | 83% (372/450) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (24/46) | 48% (20/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (113/146) | 66% (57/86) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (6/45) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.98 | 0.66 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (18/30) | 75% (15/20) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.24 | 2.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.24 | 2.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Edson Carioca ⚽,
- 21', Bareiro A. (Pen),
- 25', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 62', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 63', Lucas Sasha ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 68', Chico ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 68', Jose Aldo ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 74', Bruno Pacheco ↓, Weverson ↑,
- 74', Bareiro A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 75', Negueba ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 75', Edson Carioca ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 79', Allanzinho ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 87', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 88', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 88', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
- 90+1', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Marinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 34.6% | Draw 31.4% | Mirassol 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.97 ↑ (2.1) |
3.21 ↑ (3.2) |
2.94 ↓ (3.6) |
-1.1% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Recent form of Fortaleza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Mirassol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Andrade K.
(Yellow Cards)
Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Breno Lopes
(Yellow Cards)
Britez E.
(Yellow Cards)
Kuscevic B.
(Inactive)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pereira M.
(Inactive)
Pierre
(Inactive)
Pochettino T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
PH
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo
(Finger Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Mirassol?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Fortaleza?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Mirassol were as follows:
06.04.2025
Mirassol
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fortaleza - Mirassol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |