Mirassol vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Fortaleza
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 2
  • Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
Mirassol - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.86
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
85% (489/576)67% (168/249)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.10
Total shots
207
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3112
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
85% (489/576)67% (168/249)
Long passes
66% (21/32)43% (29/67)
Passes in final third
77% (150/194)55% (42/76)
Crosses
22% (7/32)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.30
Fouls
1212
Tackles
82% (9/11)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5053
Clearances Total
736
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.100.98
Goals prevented
0.10-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Emmanuel Martinez , Moises (A),
  • 18', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
  • 45', Clayson 🟨,
  • 45+1', Mancuso E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Neto Moura , Gabriel ,
  • 61', Daniel Fabricio , Cristian Renato ,
  • 66', Mancuso E. , David Luiz ,
  • 69', Moises , Allanzinho ,
  • 70', Iury Castilho , Matheus Davo ,
  • 70', Clayson , Maceio ,
  • 80', Deyverson , Lucero J. ,
  • 80', Emmanuel Martinez , Fernandez P. ,
  • 85', Lucas Ramon , Daniel Borges ,
  • 89', Fernandez P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Cristian Renato , Matheus Davo (A),
  • 90+4', Cristian Renato 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
38.3%
Draw
31.1%
Fortaleza
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 29.2% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 29% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mirassol - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (3.16)
    3.05
    (3.24)
    3.07
    (2.33)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Fortaleza?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Mirassol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fortaleza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Mirassol have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Bianqui (Injury) PH (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes (Forearm injury) Britez E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Tinga (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mirassol
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    01.04.2025 Fortaleza - Racing 0:3
    29.03.2025 Fortaleza - Fluminense 2:0
    26.03.2025 Fortaleza - CRB Maceio 0:1
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    19.03.2025 Sousa - Fortaleza 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras86119:3619
    2Flamengo RJ852117:41317
    3Bragantino852110:6417
    4Cruzeiro851213:7616
    5Fluminense841310:10013
    6Ceara83329:7212
    7Atletico-MG833210:10012
    8Bahia83327:8-112
    9Botafogo RJ832310:5511
    10Corinthians831411:14-310
    11Fortaleza824210:5510
    12Mirassol824213:11210
    13Internacional823310:12-29
    14Vitoria82339:11-29
    15Gremio82337:12-59
    16Sao Paulo81616:609
    17Vasco82157:11-47
    18Juventude82157:20-137
    19Santos81257:10-35
    20Sport Recife80264:14-102

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