Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Minnesota United
Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Minnesota United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.73
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (476/550)80% (256/322)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.59
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
87% (476/550)80% (256/322)
Long passes
55% (27/49)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
71% (96/136)68% (65/96)
Crosses
35% (9/26)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.040.63
Throw-ins
196
Fouls
1313
Tackles
31% (4/13)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
2834
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.591.24
Goals prevented
-0.410.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Romero N. 🟨,
  • 43', Lassiter A. 🟨,
  • 45', Harvey C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romero N. , Boxall M. ,
  • 46', Harvey C. , Trapp W. ,
  • 56', Lassiter A. , Guerra G. ,
  • 61', Hlongwane B. , Markanich A. ,
  • 65', Pereyra J. 🟨,
  • 71', Pereyra J. , Yeboah K. ,
  • 74', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 74', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 75', Rosales J. , Gene O. ,
  • 77', 0 - 1, Markanich A. , Gressel J. (A),
  • 86', Paredes C. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Fernandez O. , Mosquera J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
31.3%
Draw
27%
Minnesota United
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 27.4% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 27.9% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Timbers's form might have worsened.
  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Portland Timbers - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.51)
    3.52
    (3.46)
    2.28
    (2.72)
    5.3%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Minnesota United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
    • Portland is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Minnesota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury) Speel W. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Portland won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:36. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Minnesota United were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Portland Timbers - Minnesota United 3:2
    18.05.2024 Minnesota United - Portland Timbers 2:1
    01.07.2023 Minnesota United - Portland Timbers 4:1
    20.05.2023 Portland Timbers - Minnesota United 0:1
    10.09.2022 Portland Timbers - Minnesota United 1:0
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Minnesota United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 4
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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