Austin II vs Minnesota United 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Austin II - Minnesota United 2
Result
2:1 penalties
23/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Austin II - Minnesota United 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.31
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Long passes
36% (17/47)63% (33/52)
Passes in final third
63% (46/73)70% (79/113)
Crosses
15% (2/13)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.54
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1219
Tackles
46% (6/13)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.311.83
Goals prevented
0.310.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Kabia A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Grogan P. , Burton M. (A),
  • 29', Farkarlun B. 🟨,
  • 42', Ciesla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Burton M. , Badawiya M. ,
  • 60', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 61', Farkarlun B. , Abarca D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Randell A. ,
  • 66', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 66', Kabia A. , Schumacher B. ,
  • 66', Putt T. , Saidi I. ,
  • 67', Schumacher B. 🟨,
  • 72', Grogan P. , Danciutiu V. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez A. , Avila C. ,
  • 78', Martinez A. , Casillas-Lopez C. ,
  • 80', Djakaria B. 🟨,
  • 83', Farris J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Mesanvi L. (Pen),
  • 1, Bonachera R. (Pen),
  • 2, Saidi I. (Pen),
  • 2, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Niang B. (Pen),
  • 3, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 4, Farris J. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin II
40.8%
Draw
24.4%
Minnesota United 2
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 26.7% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 26.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin II's performance.
  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Austin II - Minnesota United 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.62)
    3.77
    (3.44)
    2.65
    (2.41)
    8.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Austin II - Minnesota United 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin II (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin II - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 0:1
    08.09.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    28.08.2024 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    18.07.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    10.09.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 2:1
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II19623833:3925
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chattanooga19833530:2933
    4Huntsville17832435:1932
    5Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    6New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9New York City II19623833:3925
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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