Austin II vs Minnesota United 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Austin II - Minnesota United 2
Result
2:1 penalties
23/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Austin II - Minnesota United 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.31
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Long passes
36% (17/47)63% (33/52)
Passes in final third
63% (46/73)70% (79/113)
Crosses
15% (2/13)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.54
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1219
Tackles
46% (6/13)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.311.83
Goals prevented
0.310.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Kabia A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Grogan P. , Burton M. (A),
  • 29', Farkarlun B. 🟨,
  • 42', Ciesla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Burton M. , Badawiya M. ,
  • 60', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 61', Farkarlun B. , Abarca D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Randell A. ,
  • 66', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 66', Kabia A. , Schumacher B. ,
  • 66', Putt T. , Saidi I. ,
  • 67', Schumacher B. 🟨,
  • 72', Grogan P. , Danciutiu V. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez A. , Avila C. ,
  • 78', Martinez A. , Casillas-Lopez C. ,
  • 80', Djakaria B. 🟨,
  • 83', Farris J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Mesanvi L. (Pen),
  • 1, Bonachera R. (Pen),
  • 2, Saidi I. (Pen),
  • 2, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Niang B. (Pen),
  • 3, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 4, Farris J. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin II
40.8%
Draw
24.4%
Minnesota United 2
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 26.7% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 26.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin II's performance.
  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Austin II - Minnesota United 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.62)
    3.77
    (3.44)
    2.65
    (2.41)
    8.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Austin II - Minnesota United 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin II (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin II - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 0:1
    08.09.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    28.08.2024 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    18.07.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    10.09.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 2:1
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II15522628:3121
    3New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    4Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    5Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    6Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    7Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    8Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Huntsville12531324:1322
    3Orlando City B13610619:2420
    4Carolina Core11323317:1516
    5Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    6Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    4Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    5Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    6Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    7Portland Timbers 213411721:3015


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas12611420:2321
    4Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    5Minnesota 210502320:1317
    6Austin FC II1122349:1313
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Huntsville12531324:1322
    4New York City II15522628:3121
    5Orlando City B13610619:2420
    6New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    7Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    8Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    9Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    10Carolina Core11323317:1516
    11Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    12Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    13Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    14Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    15Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas12611420:2321
    5Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    8Minnesota 210502320:1317
    9Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    10Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    11Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    12Portland Timbers 213411721:3015
    13Austin FC II1122349:1313
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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