Millwall vs Watford: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Championship Millwall - Watford
Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 6
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Millwall - Watford - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.74
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
75% (264/352)84% (482/572)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.29
Total shots
911
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
911
Passes
75% (264/352)84% (482/572)
Long passes
30% (14/47)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
64% (73/114)73% (112/153)
Crosses
11% (2/19)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.44
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
119
Tackles
68% (15/22)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4958
Clearances
3637
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.290.31
Goals prevented
0.29-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ,
  • 30', Bryan J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Selvik E. , Baxter N. ,
  • 62', Mendy N. , Kayembe E. ,
  • 67', Emakhu A. , Smallbone W. ,
  • 72', Bola M. , Wiley C. ,
  • 72', Mendy F. , Baah K. ,
  • 72', Semedo V. , Kjerrumgaard L. ,
  • 78', Ballo T. , Taylor C. ,
  • 79', Bryan J. , Sturge Z. ,
  • 79', Neghli C. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 88', Kyprianou H. , Vata R. ,
  • 90+3', Leonard R. , Harding W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
51.6%
Draw
27.8%
Watford
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 28.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 28.2% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millwall's performance.
  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millwall that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Millwall - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.1)
    3.59
    (3.25)
    4.93
    (3.4)
    0.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). Watford will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 39.2%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.
    • Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) De Norre C. (Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lamptey R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Baker-Boaitey B. (Inactive) Kelly D. (Injury) Langstaff M. (Hip Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Ngakia J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Watford were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Watford - Millwall 1:2
    10.08.2024 Millwall - Watford 2:3
    02.03.2024 Millwall - Watford 1:0
    28.10.2023 Watford - Millwall 2:2
    26.12.2022 Watford - Millwall 0:2
    Latest results of Millwall
    16.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 2:1
    30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2
    26.08.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 2:1
    Latest results of Watford
    13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    23.08.2025 Swansea City - Watford 1:1
    12.08.2025 Watford - Norwich City 1:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough651011:4716
    2Stoke64029:4512
    3Bristol City632113:7611
    4Leicester63218:5311
    5Preston63217:5211
    6Coventry624015:7810
    7West Brom63127:6110
    8Birmingham63125:5010
    9QPR631210:12-210
    10Millwall63125:7-210
    11Swansea62226:518
    12Portsmouth62224:5-18
    13Charlton62224:5-18
    14Hull622210:12-28
    15Norwich62139:907
    16Wrexham621311:12-17
    17Ipswich51319:546
    18Blackburn52035:506
    19Southampton61327:9-26
    20Oxford Utd61239:10-15
    21Watford61235:7-25
    22Derby61238:12-45
    23Sheffield Wed61145:12-74
    24Sheffield Utd60061:13-120

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Millwall - Watford?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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