Crystal Palace vs Millwall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup
Soccer English League Cup Crystal Palace - Millwall
Result
2:1 penalties
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
Crystal Palace - Millwall - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.46
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
83% (417/502)76% (318/418)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.770.61
Total shots
178
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
156
Passes
83% (417/502)76% (318/418)
Long passes
52% (26/50)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
64% (74/115)55% (60/109)
Crosses
35% (6/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.691.00
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
615
Tackles
41% (7/17)78% (21/27)
Duels won
5757
Clearances
3426
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.611.77
Goals prevented
-0.390.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Kelly D. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Esse R. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
  • 46', Ivanovic M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
  • 60', Ballo T. 🟨,
  • 61', Guehi M. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
  • 70', Bangura-Williams R. 🟨,
  • 71', Sosa B. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
  • 71', Pino Y. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Richards C. ⚽,
  • 76', Hughes W. 🟨,
  • 78', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
  • 78', Neghli C. ↓, Howland J. ↑,
  • 78', Grant K. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
  • 83', Mazou-Sacko D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Leonard R. ⚽, Howland J. (A),
  • 90+5', Leonard R. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Mateta J. (Pen),
  • 1, Crama T. (Pen),
  • 2, Richards C. (Pen),
  • 2, Harding W. (Pen),
  • 3, Devenny J. (Pen),
  • 3, Leonard R. (Pen),
  • 4, Kamada D. (Pen),
  • 4, Emakhu A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Crystal Palace
69.2%		Draw
20%		Millwall
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 19.2% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 18.5% 10.6%

Crystal Palace - Millwall Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.42 ↑
(1.34)		 4.73 ↓
(4.88)		 8.73 ↑
(8.51)		 3%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 17 - 85%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 69.4% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crystal Palace will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4.
  • Crystal Palace is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Millwall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • In this match, Crystal Palace is the undisputed favorite.
  • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Hamstring Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (Thigh Injury) Wharton A. (Groin Injury)
  • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) De Norre C. (Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lamptey R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury)
  • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Millwall were as follows:
12.07.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 1:0
01.03.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 3:1
Latest results of Crystal Palace
13.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Sunderland 0:0 ✺
31.08.2025 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺
28.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Crystal Palace 0:0 ✺
24.08.2025 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺
21.08.2025 Crystal Palace - Fredrikstad 1:0 ✺
Latest results of Millwall
13.09.2025 Charlton Athletic - Millwall 1:1 ✺
30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2 ✺
26.08.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 2:1 ✺
23.08.2025 Sheffield United - Millwall 0:1 ✺
16.08.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0:3 ✺
Draw
Main

1/64-finals
1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
4ByeArsenal
5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
8ByeBrighton
9LiverpoolBye
11WatfordNorwich1 : 2
12NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
13Crystal PalaceBye
15NewportMillwall0 : 1
16CoventryLuton1 : 0
17BarrowPreston0 : 1
18WrexhamHull4 : 3
19PortsmouthReading1 : 2
20GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
21BurnleyBye
22West BromDerby1 : 2
23CardiffSwindon2 : 1
24CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
25WolvesBye
26ByeWest Ham
27EvertonBye
28ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
29TranmereBurton1 : 2
30HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
32ByeChelsea
33SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
34PlymouthQPR3 : 2
36ByeNottingham
37SunderlandBye
38HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
40ByeManchester City
41BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
42ByeLeeds
43GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
44ByeManchester Utd
45BournemouthBye
46ByeBrentford
48ByeAston Villa
49NewcastleBye
51StokeWalsall1 : 0
52BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
53TottenhamBye
55AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
56MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
61FulhamBye
62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

1/32-finals
1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
2ByeArsenal
3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
5LiverpoolBye
6NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
7Crystal PalaceBye
8MillwallCoventry2 : 1
9PrestonWrexham2 : 3
10ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
11BurnleyDerby2 : 1
12CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
13WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
14EvertonMansfield2 : 0
15BurtonLincoln0 : 1
16ByeChelsea
17SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
18ByeNottingham
19SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
20ByeManchester City
21Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
22GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
23BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
24ByeAston Villa
25NewcastleBye
26StokeBradford City0 : 3
27TottenhamBye
28AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
29WiganStockport County1 : 0
30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

1/16-finals
1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
3LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
4Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
5WrexhamReading2 : 0
6BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
7WolvesEverton2 : 0
8LincolnChelsea1 : 2
9SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
10HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
11Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
12BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
13NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
14TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
15WiganWycombe0 : 2
16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

1/8-finals
1ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
2LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
3WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
4WolvesChelsea3 : 4
5SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
6GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5
7NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
8WycombeFulham1 : 2

Quarter-finals
1ArsenalCrystal Palace
2CardiffChelsea1 : 3
3Manchester CityBrentford
4NewcastleFulham
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