Millwall vs Stoke City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Championship Millwall - Stoke City
Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
Millwall - Stoke City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.70
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
115
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
20
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
26
Throw-ins
3321
Touches in the Opposition Box
2518
Passes
75% (253/339)64% (172/267)
Passes in the final third
67% (78/117)52% (42/81)
Crosses
35% (13/37)24% (4/17)
Tackles
67% (8/12)62% (8/13)
Clearances Total
2638
Interceptions
912

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Emakhu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Koumas L. 🟨,
  • 63', Al Hamadi A. , Gallagher S. ,
  • 74', Emakhu A. , Connolly A. ,
  • 74', Crama T. , Harding W. ,
  • 76', Connolly A. 🟨,
  • 76', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
  • 78', Baker L. , Moran A. ,
  • 78', Bae J. , Manhoef M. ,
  • 90', Bangura-Williams R. , Cundle L. ,
  • 90+2', Wilmot B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Burger W. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. (Pen),
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
41.6%
Draw
31.2%
Stoke City
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 27.3% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 27.2% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.
  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Millwall - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.97)
    3.04
    (3.46)
    3.52
    (3.81)
    5.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and English League Championship with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Stoke will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 3.
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Stoke is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Millwall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Millwall have a series of guest games.
    • Millwall will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Hamstring Injury) Honeyman G. (Hamstring Injury) Langstaff M. (Leg Injury) Leonard R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Muscle Injury) Roberts L. (Red Card) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gibson B. (Leg Injury) Mmaee R. (Muscle Injury) Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Bocat E. (Knock) Gooch L. (Leg Injury) Pearson B. (Muscle Injury) Stevens E. (Knock)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Millwall won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Stoke City were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Stoke City - Millwall 1:1
    23.12.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:0
    26.08.2023 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0
    25.02.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0
    08.03.2025 Watford - Millwall 1:2
    04.03.2025 Millwall - Bristol City 0:2
    01.03.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 3:1
    22.02.2025 Derby County - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Stoke City
    08.03.2025 Coventry City - Stoke City 3:2
    01.03.2025 Stoke City - Watford 0:0
    25.02.2025 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 1:3
    22.02.2025 Norwich City - Stoke City 4:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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