Millwall vs Stoke City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Millwall - Stoke City
Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
Millwall - Stoke City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.70
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
115
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
20
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
26
Throw-ins
3321
Touches in the Opposition Box
2518
Passes
75% (253/339)64% (172/267)
Passes in the final third
67% (78/117)52% (42/81)
Crosses
35% (13/37)24% (4/17)
Tackles
67% (8/12)62% (8/13)
Clearances Total
2638
Interceptions
912

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Emakhu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Koumas L. 🟨,
  • 63', Al Hamadi A. , Gallagher S. ,
  • 74', Emakhu A. , Connolly A. ,
  • 74', Crama T. , Harding W. ,
  • 76', Connolly A. 🟨,
  • 76', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
  • 78', Baker L. , Moran A. ,
  • 78', Bae J. , Manhoef M. ,
  • 90', Bangura-Williams R. , Cundle L. ,
  • 90+2', Wilmot B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Burger W. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. (Pen),
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall 41.6%Draw 31.2%Stoke City 27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Millwall 47.9%Draw 27.3%Stoke City 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Millwall 48.1%Draw 27.2%Stoke City 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.
  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Millwall - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.97)
    3.04
    (3.46)
    3.52
    (3.81)
    5.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and English League Championship with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Stoke City?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 3.
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Stoke is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Millwall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Millwall have a series of guest games.
    • Millwall will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Hamstring Injury) Honeyman G. (Hamstring Injury) Langstaff M. (Leg Injury) Leonard R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Muscle Injury) Roberts L. (Red Card) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gibson B. (Leg Injury) Mmaee R. (Muscle Injury) Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Bocat E. (Knock) Gooch L. (Leg Injury) Pearson B. (Muscle Injury) Stevens E. (Knock)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Millwall won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Stoke City were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Stoke City - Millwall 1:1
    23.12.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:0
    26.08.2023 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0
    25.02.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0
    08.03.2025 Watford - Millwall 1:2
    04.03.2025 Millwall - Bristol City 0:2
    01.03.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 3:1
    22.02.2025 Derby County - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Stoke City
    08.03.2025 Coventry City - Stoke City 3:2
    01.03.2025 Stoke City - Watford 0:0
    25.02.2025 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 1:3
    22.02.2025 Norwich City - Stoke City 4:2
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leeds ✔ 462913495:3065100
    2Burnley ✔ 462816269:1653100
    3Sheffield Utd ✔ 462881063:362790
    4Sunderland ✔ 4621131258:441476
    5Coventry462091764:58669
    6Bristol City4617171259:55468
    7Blackburn461991853:48566
    8Millwall4618121647:49-266
    9West Brom4615191257:471064
    10Middlesbrough4618101864:56864
    11Swansea4617101951:56-561
    12Sheffield Wed4615131860:69-958
    13Norwich4614151771:68357
    14Watford461692153:61-857
    15QPR4614141853:63-1056
    16Portsmouth4614122058:71-1354
    17Oxford Utd4613141949:65-1653
    18Stoke4612151945:62-1751
    19Derby4613112248:56-850
    20Preston4610201648:59-1150
    21Hull4612132144:54-1049
    22Luton4613102345:69-2449
    23Plymouth4611132251:88-3746
    24Cardiff ✔ 469172048:73-2544

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Leeds is Qualified for Premier League
    Burnley is Qualified for Premier League
    Sheffield Utd is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Cardiff is Relegated to League One
    Which TV channels are streaming of Millwall - Stoke City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, ESPN 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, Fox Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
    singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldDisney+
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