Millwall vs Coventry City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Millwall - Coventry City
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Millwall - Coventry City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.83
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
71% (233/327)81% (375/462)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.13
Total shots
915
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
712
Passes
71% (233/327)81% (375/462)
Long passes
22% (14/63)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
59% (51/86)69% (92/133)
Crosses
20% (4/20)25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.74
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
128
Tackles
78% (18/23)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4964
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.130.73
Goals prevented
0.13-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Grant K. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Luongo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Thomas B. , Kitching L. ,
  • 46', Bryan J. , Mayor A. ,
  • 46', Luongo M. , De Norre C. ,
  • 59', Borges Rodrigues R. 🟨,
  • 60', Andrews K. , Rudoni J. ,
  • 60', Borges Rodrigues R. , Dasilva J. ,
  • 62', Nisbet K. , Matthews A. ,
  • 62', Cundle L. , Bangura-Williams R. ,
  • 69', Allen J. , Torp V. ,
  • 69', Simms E. , Wright H. ,
  • 71', Mayor A. 🟨,
  • 73', Kitching L. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Grant K. , Emakhu A. (A),
  • 77', Emakhu A. , Kendall S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Wright H. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Millwall
31.3%
Draw
27.6%
Coventry City
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.7% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 30.6% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Millwall - Coventry City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.83)
    3.4
    (3.31)
    2.32
    (2.52)
    5.8%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Coventry City?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Coventry will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 52.1%90.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Coventry City will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) Bangura-Williams R. (Inactive) Bryan J. (Injury) Doughty A. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Langstaff M. (Hip Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury) Tanganga J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Coventry: Latibeaudiere J. (Inactive) Sakamoto T. (Groin Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Eccles J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Coventry City were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Coventry City - Millwall 0:0
    07.12.2024 Millwall - Coventry City 0:1
    11.02.2024 Coventry City - Millwall 2:1
    25.11.2023 Millwall - Coventry City 0:3
    14.02.2023 Coventry City - Millwall 1:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    16.08.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0:3
    12.08.2025 Newport County - Millwall 0:1
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    Latest results of Coventry City
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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