Milan vs Monza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Milan - Monza
Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 38
  • Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
Milan - Monza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.33
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
93% (531/570)90% (407/454)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.40
Total shots
216
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2814
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
98
Passes
93% (531/570)90% (407/454)
Long passes
74% (20/27)33% (8/24)
Passes in final third
85% (141/166)77% (54/70)
Crosses
33% (4/12)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.35
Throw-ins
68
Fouls
89
Tackles
50% (7/14)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3521
Clearances
1417
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.401.28
Goals prevented
0.40-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Musah Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
  • 46', Jovic L. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
  • 51', Bianco A. 🟨,
  • 61', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Gabbia M. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
  • 70', Ciurria P. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
  • 70', Caprari G. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Joao Felix ⚽,
  • 79', Caldirola L. ↓, Izzo A. ↑,
  • 79', Balde K. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
  • 80', Joao Felix ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
  • 83', Pizzignacco S. ↓, Mazza A. ↑,
  • 86', Pulisic C. ↓, Florenzi A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Milan
76.2%		Draw
14.4%		Monza
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.6% 15.5% 5.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
    •

    Milan - Monza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.26 ↑
    (1.24)    		 6.7 ↑
    (6.28)    		 10.32 ↓
    (16.45)    		 3.9%
    (3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Milan - Monza?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 86.1% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Monza is Relegated to Serie B
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
    • Milan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Monza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Milan is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Red Card) Hernandez T. (Thigh Injury) Walker K. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Bondo W. (Ankle Injury) Chukwueze S. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: D'Ambrosio D. (Ankle Injury) Forson O. (Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 26:8. (average 2.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 3.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Monza were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Monza - Milan 0:1
    13.08.2024 Milan - Monza 3:1
    18.02.2024 Monza - Milan 4:2
    17.12.2023 Milan - Monza 3:0
    08.08.2023 Monza - Milan 1:1
    Latest results of Milan
    18.05.2025 Roma - Milan 3:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 0:1 ✺
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺
    05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Venezia - Milan 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Monza
    18.05.2025 Monza - Empoli 1:3 ✺
    11.05.2025 Udinese - Monza 1:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 Monza - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Juventus - Monza 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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