Barys Astana vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey KHL Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Result
2:3 OT
17/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : KHL
Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3835
Shooting PCT
5.26% (2/38)8.57% (3/35)
Blocked shots
1711
Goalkeeper Saves
3236
Saves PCT
91.43% (32/35)94.74% (36/38)
Penalties
25
PIM
410
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)80% (4/5)
Hits
65
Faceoffs Won
2229
Faceoffs %
43.1456.86
Giveaways
179
Takeaways
63
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 01:49, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
  • 06:04, 0 - 1, Iskhakov R. (G), Minulin A. (A), Mikhailis N. (A2)
  • 17:24, (2 min),
  • 18:04, Morelli M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:06, 0 - 2, Iskhakov R. (G), Mikhailis N. (A), Petunin A. (A2)
  • 09:23, Tkachev V. (2 min),
  • 09:23, Willman M. (2 min),
  • 14:20, Barach D. (2 min),
  • 15:17, 1 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:17, Vovchenko D. (2 min),
  • 14:39, 2 - 2, Walsh R. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 00:47, 2 - 3, Barach D. (G), Smolin A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barys Astana
16.5%
Draw
18.1%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.9% 18.1% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 19.5% 61.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.79
    (5.94)
    5.29
    (5.21)
    1.46
    (1.43)
    4.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk?
    • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8%69.6%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Metallurg M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Metallurg M is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 33:64. (average 1.7:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 2.1:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 5:2
    09.11.2025 Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 1:4
    18.09.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 5:1
    29.08.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 2:1
    26.02.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 4:1
    Latest results of Barys Astana
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 673312616181:13496
    2Cherepovets ✔ 672911621195:18086
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 66326919236:16785
    4CSKA Moscow ✔ 67334822159:14282
    5Dynamo Moscow ✔ 662612523182:16581
    6SKA St. Petersburg ✔ 66279723191:16579
    7Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 672610724186:18879
    8Spartak Moscow ✔ 66296724200:19577
    9Shanghai661651233163:22754
    10Lada67163741152:23845
    11Sochi66162840136:22744


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 663712710249:174105
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 663510516219:15495
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 66365817201:16290
    4Yekaterinburg ✔ 66318423198:15482
    5Salavat Ufa ✔ 66259626175:17074
    6Tractor Chelyabinsk ✔ 66265926198:19371
    7Niznekamsk ✔ 66258330167:18369
    8Novosibirsk661414929154:19365
    9Khabarovsk66224832152:18260
    10Barys Astana671651135153:20653
    11Vladivostok661541235159:20750

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    CSKA Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dynamo Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    SKA St. Petersburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Spartak Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Yekaterinburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Salavat Ufa is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor Chelyabinsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Niznekamsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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