Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs Ak Bars Kazan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey KHL Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan
Result
3:4
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : KHL
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3923
Shooting PCT
7.69% (3/39)17.39% (4/23)
Blocked Shots
2010
Goalkeeper Saves
1936
Saves PCT
82.61% (19/23)92.31% (36/39)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)100% (4/4)
Hits
1326
Faceoffs Won
2334
Faceoffs %
40.3559.65
Giveaways
116
Takeaways
88
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 06:22, Siryatsky A. (2 min),
  • 18:53, 1 - 0, Siryatsky A. (G),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:28, Fisenko M. (2 min),
  • 10:15, 2 - 0, Silantyev D. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Maklyukov A. (A2)
  • 11:26, 3 - 0, Kantserov R. (G), Silantyev D. (A), Minulin A. (A2)
  • 11:26, (2 min),
  • 15:20, 3 - 1, Alistrov V. (G), Barabanov A. (A),
  • 18:01, Falkovsky S. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 3)
  • 02:23, Safonov I. (2 min),
  • 08:03, 3 - 2, Karpukhin I. (G), Marchenko A. (A), Jaskin D. (A2)
  • 08:58, Safonov I. (2 min),
  • 12:11, 3 - 3, Denisenko G. (G), Galimov A. (A), Miller M. (A2)
  • 13:15, Vovchenko D. (2 min),
  • 15:07, 3 - 4, Denisenko G. (G), Chmelevski A. (A), Miller M. (A2)
  • 17:47, Tkachev V. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Metallurg Magnitogorsk
49.6%
Draw
23%
Ak Bars Kazan
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 24.2% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 22.5% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.09)
    4.15
    (4)
    3.49
    (3.28)
    4.8%
    (3.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Ak Bars will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metallurg M: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metallurg Magnitogorsk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 2.
    • Metallurg M is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ak Bars has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ak Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ak Bars has had a series of home games.
    • Metallurg M is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Metallurg M will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:49. (average 2.7:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 2.5:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Ak Bars Kazan - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 3:6
    06.09.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan 4:3
    29.10.2024 Ak Bars Kazan - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 4:1
    14.10.2024 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan 0:5
    27.09.2024 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan 3:4
    Latest results of Ak Bars Kazan
    KHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl11622139:2018
    2Nizhny Novgorod11531234:2217
    3Dinamo Minsk10422228:2414
    4Shanghai9412228:2312
    5SKA St. Petersburg10412333:2912
    6CSKA Moscow10501431:2911
    7Spartak Moscow10313332:3411
    8Dynamo Moscow10141427:3311
    9Cherepovets10500526:2410
    10Sochi9221422:269
    11Lada11201821:485


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Avangard Omsk10620240:2416
    2Magnitogorsk10522138:2716
    3Niznekamsk11610431:3014
    4Yekaterinburg11511434:3013
    5Tractor Chelyabinsk11413332:3413
    6Barys Astana11321528:3111
    7Bars Kazan10401523:349
    8Khabarovsk9302418:218
    9Vladivostok9212419:248
    10Novosibirsk10130621:298
    11Salavat Ufa9112521:306

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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