Newcastle North Stars vs Melbourne Mustangs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs
Result
7:4
21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (4 - 1)
  • 01:05, 1 - 0, Tallberg K. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Kubat K. (A2)
  • 03:16, 2 - 0, Tallberg K. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Funes B. (A2)
  • 10:37, 3 - 0, Drolet F. (G), Darge W. (A),
  • 15:28, 4 - 0, Manwarring L. (G), Kubat K. (A),
  • 19:08, 4 - 1, Timmins S. (G), Klomp D. (A), Dunkley N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 2)
  • 01:54, 5 - 1, Darge W. (G), Drolet F. (A), Klugerman R. (A2)
  • 04:34, 6 - 1, Kubara C. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Kubat K. (A2)
  • 09:36, 6 - 2, Timmins S. (G), Dunkley N. (A), Klomp D. (A2)
  • 15:06, 6 - 3, Roy M. (G), Hayden D. (A), Ponomarev N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 10:50, 7 - 3, Tallberg K. (G), Kubat K. (A), Kubara C. (A2)
  • 16:26, 7 - 4, Roy M. (G), Timmins S. (A), Klomp D. (A2)

Chances of winning


Newcastle North Stars
38%
Draw
19.2%
Melbourne Mustangs
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 16.5% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 16.1% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle North Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.28)
    4.73
    (5.6)
    2.12
    (2.16)
    10.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
    • Newcastle is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Melbourne Mustangs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 2.33.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 84:80. (average 4.2:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 51:42. (average 4.6:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 3:8
    10.08.2024 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 9:2
    20.07.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars 5:1
    04.05.2024 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 5:6
    10.06.2023 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 5:2
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice1914230126:6049
    2Perth18912693:7531
    3Melbourne Mustangs17820784:6828
    4Brisbane Lightning16714474:8327
    5CBR Brave16620875:8622
    6Newcastle16530873:7421
    7Adelaide164021052:9114
    8Central Coast Rhinos182221266:10612

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