Melbourne Mustangs vs Newcastle North Stars: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars
Result
1:8
26/07/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:40, 0 - 1, Klugerman R. (G),
  • 18:45, 0 - 2, Tallberg K. (G), Klugerman R. (A), Darge W. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 4)
  • 09:20, 0 - 3, Darge W. (G), Klugerman R. (A), Hawes E. (A2)
  • 13:31, 0 - 4, Skachkov Y. (G),
  • 17:26, 0 - 5, Nadin P. (G), Tallberg K. (A),
  • 19:44, 0 - 6, Tallberg K. (G), Darge W. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 08:16, 0 - 7, Kubara C. (G), Darge W. (A), Hawes E. (A2)
  • 15:54, 1 - 7, Astafiev A. (G), Clare T. (A), Ponomarev N. (A2)
  • 18:54, 1 - 8, Drolet F. (G), Skachkov Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Mustangs
26.6%
Draw
17%
Newcastle North Stars
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 18.9% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 18.4% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Mustangs's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle North Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle North Stars's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Mustangs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle North Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.49)
    5.46
    (4.85)
    1.64
    (2.08)
    8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 9.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 2.
    • Melbourne Mustangs has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newcastle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Melbourne Mustangs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Melbourne Mustangs has had a series of away games.
    • Newcastle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 80:90. (average 4:4.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Mustangs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:38. (average 4.1:4.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars 5:8
    21.06.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 7:4
    27.04.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 3:8
    10.08.2024 Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs 9:2
    20.07.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars 5:1
    Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice2417232151:8758
    2Perth2212127119:8240
    3CBR Brave2111208114:9737
    4Newcastle23103010119:10236
    5Brisbane Lightning22914898:11533
    6Melbourne Mustangs2492013101:10931
    7Adelaide227021377:11323
    8Central Coast Rhinos222221671:14512

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