Result
9:6
08/06/2025 at 01:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 01:07, 0 - 1, Klomp D. (G), Hayden D. (A), Roy M. (A2)
- 08:16, 0 - 2, Wishart T. (G), Timmins S. (A), Hayden D. (A2)
- 09:07, 0 - 3, Hayden D. (G), Timmins S. (A), Wishart T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (4 - 2)
- 02:01, 1 - 3, Rapchuk S. (G), Gendunov B. (A), Rapchuk A. (A2)
- 04:20, 1 - 4, Timmins S. (G), Lindal B. (A),
- 05:05, 2 - 4, Fodor J. (G), Costa B. (A), Gendunov B. (A2)
- 05:27, 3 - 4, Miller C. (G), Hopps T. (A),
- 07:46, 3 - 5, Warren J. (G), Roy M. (A), Giorgi M. (A2)
- 12:47, 4 - 5, Barnes A. (G), Sturny J. (A), Miller C. (A2)
- 3rd Period (5 - 1)
- 06:56, 4 - 6, Klomp D. (G), Hayden D. (A),
- 07:34, 5 - 6, Sturny J. (G), Hopps T. (A), Miller C. (A2)
- 09:53, 6 - 6, Miller C. (G), Sturny J. (A),
- 14:42, 7 - 6, Miller C. (G), Hopps T. (A), Costa B. (A2)
- 15:39, 8 - 6, Gendunov B. (G), Ouimette L. (A),
- 18:15, 9 - 6, Hopps T. (G), Sturny J. (A),
Chances of winning
Brisbane Lightning
34.3% | Draw
19.8% | Melbourne Mustangs
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Lightning's form might have worsened.Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Mustangs's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lightning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Mustangs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.25) |
4.57 ↓
(4.71) |
1.98 ↓
(2.25) |
10.4%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
- Brisbane is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melbourne Mustangs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melbourne Mustangs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 3.1:4.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 3.3:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lightning won against Melbourne Mustangs?
Brisbane Lightning has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Mustangs won against Brisbane Lightning?
Melbourne Mustangs has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs were as follows:
07.06.2025
Brisbane Lightning
-
Melbourne Mustangs
5:3
13.04.2025
Melbourne Mustangs
-
Brisbane Lightning
4:3
01.06.2024
Brisbane Lightning
-
Melbourne Mustangs
4:1
26.05.2024
Melbourne Mustangs
-
Brisbane Lightning
1:2
14.04.2024
Melbourne Mustangs
-
Brisbane Lightning
7:4
Latest results of Brisbane Lightning
Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
Australian Ice Hockey League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne Ice | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 126:60 | 49 |
| 2 | Perth | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 93:75 | 31 |
| 3 | Melbourne Mustangs | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 84:68 | 28 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lightning | 16 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 74:83 | 27 |
| 5 | CBR Brave | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 75:86 | 22 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 73:74 | 21 |
| 7 | Adelaide | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 52:91 | 14 |
| 8 | Central Coast Rhinos | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 66:106 | 12 |
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