Brisbane Lightning vs Melbourne Mustangs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs
Result
5:3
07/06/2025 at 02:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:39, 1 - 0, Hopps T. (G),
  • 17:03, 2 - 0, Gendunov B. (G), Rapchuk A. (A),
  • 17:50, 2 - 1, Lindal B. (G), Timmins S. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:21, 3 - 1, Miller C. (G), Hopps T. (A), Sturny J. (A2)
  • 05:19, 3 - 2, Roy M. (G),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 05:19, 4 - 2, Roy M. (G),
  • 06:40, 4 - 3, Timmins S. (G), Wishart T. (A), Phillips Z. (A2)
  • 17:02, 5 - 3, Sturny J. (G), Gendunov B. (A),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lightning
33.1%
Draw
19.5%
Melbourne Mustangs
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 19.4% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 19.1% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Lightning's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Mustangs's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lightning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Mustangs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.32)
    4.66
    (4.77)
    1.91
    (2.26)
    10.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs?
    The most likely score is 5:4. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Melbourne Mustangs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 2.9:5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning 4:3
    01.06.2024 Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs 4:1
    26.05.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning 1:2
    14.04.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning 7:4
    20.08.2023 Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning 8:3
    Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice12813075:3629
    2Brisbane Lightning9512138:3219
    3Melbourne Mustangs10520352:3219
    4Perth11601457:4719
    5Newcastle11420554:5316
    6CBR Brave12320750:6513
    7Central Coast Rhinos12122742:679
    8Adelaide11202733:698

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