Adelaide Adrenaline vs Melbourne Mustangs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs
Result
3:4
20/07/2025 at 02:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 08:45, 1 - 0, Flanagan D. (G),
  • 13:10, 2 - 0, Adkins J. (G), Benson N. (A), Boyle Z. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 05:56, 2 - 1, Klomp D. (G), Dunkley N. (A), Lindal B. (A2)
  • 08:46, 2 - 2, Klomp D. (G), Dunkley N. (A), Clare T. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 07:23, 2 - 3, Dunkley N. (G),
  • 10:01, 3 - 3, Adkins J. (G), Benson N. (A), Nekludovs R. (A2)
  • 20', 3 - 4, (G),

Chances of winning


Adelaide Adrenaline
39.1%
Draw
20%
Melbourne Mustangs
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 20.4% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 19.8% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Adrenaline has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Adrenaline than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.68)
    4.59
    (4.5)
    2.24
    (2.02)
    9%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
    • Adelaide has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Melbourne Mustangs has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Melbourne Mustangs has had a series of away games.
    • Melbourne Mustangs could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 56:103. (average 2.8:5.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:47. (average 2.5:4.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs 5:1
    29.06.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline 8:4
    28.06.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline 4:0
    24.05.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline 5:2
    11.05.2024 Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs 2:7
    Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice2518232161:9361
    2Perth2413128133:9043
    3CBR Brave2312209122:11140
    4Newcastle24113010125:10539
    5Melbourne Mustangs25102013109:11334
    6Brisbane Lightning2491410108:13333
    7Adelaide227021377:11323
    8Central Coast Rhinos232221774:15112

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