Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan Emperors Cup Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka
Result
2:1 ET
25/05/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Emperors Cup - 1/64-finals
Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Yoshimitsu M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 1, Kawakami R. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 97', 2 - 1, Kikui Y. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
24.4%
Draw
30.9%
Osaka
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 31.3% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 31% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matsumoto Yamaga's form might have worsened.
  • Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (2.99)
    3.03
    (2.96)
    2.09
    (2.47)
    7.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka were as follows:
    07.05.2025 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:0
    14.07.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka 2:0
    23.03.2024 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:0
    03.09.2023 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 3:1
    03.05.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka 1:0
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Osaka
    18.05.2025 Sagamihara - Osaka 1:2
    07.05.2025 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:0
    03.05.2025 Tochigi City - Osaka 2:1
    12.04.2025 Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe 1:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1MachidaBye
    2Kyoto SangyoMoriyama Samurai3 : 1
    3Vegalta SendaiBye
    4ToyamaJuntendo Univ.2 : 1
    5KyotoBye
    6Nara ClubNiigata University3 : 1
    7Yokohama FCBye
    8Grulla MoriokaNorth Asia University6 : 0
    9Kashima AntlersBye
    10KusatsuHosei1 : 0
    11V-Varen NagasakiBye
    12Omiya ArdijaTsukuba Univ.0 : 1
    13Avispa FukuokaBye
    14Okinawa SVVerspah Oita4 : 1
    15OkayamaBye
    16Belugarosso IwamiGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 1
    17FC TokyoBye
    18KanazawaChukyo6 : 0
    19Hokkaido Consadole SapporoBye
    20Oita TrinitaLvnirosso2 : 0
    21Cerezo OsakaBye
    22WakayamaBasara Hyogo4 : 3
    23TokushimaBye
    24ByeRenofa Yamaguchi
    25Gamba OsakaBye
    26Veertien MieYamanashi Gakuin1 : 0
    27Montedio YamagataBye
    28ImabariKagoshima Utd0 : 2
    32ByeUrawa Reds
    33Kawasaki FrontaleBye
    34Fukushima UtdTokyo International University9 : 1
    35IwataBye
    36MitoSagamihara0 : 1
    37Yokohama F. MarinosBye
    38Reinmeer AomoriBTOP Hokkaido5 : 0
    39IwakiBye
    40ByeBlaublitz
    41Vissel KobeBye
    42KamatamareKochi United2 : 3
    43KofuBye
    44Fukui Utd.Honda FC1 : 0
    45Albirex NiigataBye
    46Fukuyama CityFC Tokushima2 : 1
    47Kashiwa ReysolBye
    48Sendai U.Toyo University2 : 4
    49VerdyBye
    50Tochigi SCOyama5 : 0
    51Sagan TosuBye
    52EhimeMitsubishi Nagasaki1 : 0
    53Nagoya GrampusBye
    54Veroskronos TsunoGainare Tottori2 : 1
    55ChibaBye
    56ByeKumamoto
    57Sanfrecce HiroshimaBye
    58Brew SagaHirondelle Kumamoto2 : 1
    59Fujieda MYFCBye
    60Baleine ShimonosekiInternational Pacific Univesity2 : 1
    61Shonan BellmareBye
    62GifuToyama Shinjo3 : 1
    63Shimizu S-PulseBye
    64YamagaOsaka2 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1MachidaKyoto Sangyo2 : 1
    2Vegalta SendaiToyama0 : 1
    3KyotoNara Club1 : 0
    4Yokohama FCGrulla Morioka2 : 1
    5Kashima AntlersKusatsu4 : 0
    6V-Varen NagasakiTsukuba Univ.2 : 1
    7Avispa FukuokaOkinawa SV2 : 0
    8OkayamaGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 2
    9FC TokyoKanazawa3 : 1
    10Hokkaido Consadole SapporoOita Trinita2 : 3
    11Cerezo OsakaWakayama5 : 0
    12TokushimaRenofa Yamaguchi2 : 1
    13Gamba OsakaVeertien Mie2 : 1
    14Montedio YamagataKagoshima Utd2 : 1
    16ByeUrawa Reds
    17Kawasaki FrontaleFukushima Utd4 : 3
    18IwataSagamihara1 : 2
    19Yokohama F. MarinosReinmeer Aomori0 : 2
    20IwakiBlaublitz1 : 2
    21Vissel KobeKochi United4 : 1
    22KofuFukui Utd.2 : 1
    23Albirex NiigataFukuyama City1 : 0
    24Kashiwa ReysolToyo University0 : 2
    25VerdyTochigi SC3 : 1
    26Sagan TosuEhime1 : 0
    27Nagoya GrampusVeroskronos Tsuno3 : 0
    28ChibaKumamoto1 : 2
    29Sanfrecce HiroshimaBrew Saga3 : 1
    30Fujieda MYFCBaleine Shimonoseki2 : 0
    31Shonan BellmareGifu2 : 0
    32Shimizu S-PulseYamaga4 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1MachidaToyama2 : 1
    2KyotoYokohama FC4 : 3
    3Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki2 : 1
    4Avispa FukuokaGiravanz Kitakyushu1 : 0
    5FC TokyoOita Trinita2 : 0
    6Cerezo OsakaTokushima2 : 0
    7Gamba OsakaMontedio Yamagata4 : 5
    8ByeUrawa Reds
    9Kawasaki FrontaleSagamihara0 : 1
    10Reinmeer AomoriBlaublitz1 : 2
    11Vissel KobeKofu2 : 1
    12Albirex NiigataToyo University1 : 2
    13VerdySagan Tosu1 : 0
    14Nagoya GrampusKumamoto2 : 1
    15Sanfrecce HiroshimaFujieda MYFC5 : 2
    16Shonan BellmareShimizu S-Pulse0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1MachidaKyoto1 : 0
    2Kashima AntlersAvispa Fukuoka3 : 2
    3FC TokyoCerezo Osaka2 : 1
    4Montedio YamagataUrawa Reds1 : 2
    5SagamiharaBlaublitz2 : 1
    6Vissel KobeToyo University2 : 1
    7VerdyNagoya Grampus
    8Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-Pulse3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MachidaKashima Antlers
    2FC TokyoUrawa Reds
    3SagamiharaVissel Kobe
    4TBD #7Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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