Port Vale vs Mansfield Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Port Vale - Mansfield Town
Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 9
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Port Vale - Mansfield Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.08
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
192
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
90% (600/670)64% (149/234)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.08
xG on target (xGOT)
3.680.52
Total shots
192
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
394
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
714
Passes
90% (600/670)64% (149/234)
Long passes
53% (17/32)24% (16/67)
Passes in final third
87% (267/306)46% (34/74)
Crosses
23% (8/35)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.15
Throw-ins
208
Fouls
147
Tackles
100% (6/6)67% (14/21)
Duels won
3757
Clearances
1531
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.523.68
Goals prevented
-0.481.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Sweeney R. 🟥,
  • 39', Gardner J. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Debrah J. , Faal M. ,
  • 46', Bowery J. , McAdam K. ,
  • 46', Croasdale R. , Curtis R. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Cole D. , Paton R. (A),
  • 56', Paton R. 🟨,
  • 56', Lewis A. 🟨,
  • 58', Paton R. , Hall G. ,
  • 61', Roberts T. , Oates R. ,
  • 61', Lewis A. , Dickov M. ,
  • 71', Gordon L. 🟨,
  • 79', Cole D. , Brown D. ,
  • 79', Gordon L. , Heneghan B. ,
  • 84', Moriah-Welsh N. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Oates R. , Dickov M. (A),
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Curtis R. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
47.2%
Draw
30.2%
Mansfield Town
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 28.6% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 27.3% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Port Vale - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.01)
    3.26
    (3.25)
    4.52
    (3.7)
    1.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Port Vale - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
    • Recent performances by Port Vale have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mansfield has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Port Vale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Port Vale will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Injury) Cargill B. (Injury) Gregory L. (Knee Injury) Oates R. (Groin Injury) Oshilaja A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Heneghan B. (Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    31.10.2023 Mansfield Town - Port Vale 0:1
    Latest results of Port Vale
    13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2
    06.09.2025 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 2:3
    30.08.2025 Reading - Port Vale 1:0
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1072118:11723
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff962115:51020
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Stockport County1044215:13216
    8Barnsley951314:12216
    9Doncaster1051410:11-116
    10Luton950412:9315
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham92167:13-67
    22Blackpool92168:15-77
    23Peterborough102177:18-117
    24Burton81255:14-95

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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