Newcastle Knights vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Result
26:22 OT
05/06/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 14
Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
33
Conversion Goal Attempts
44
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
7575
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
199185
Metres Run With Ball
18021817

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 16)
  • 13', Koula T. (Try),
  • 15', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', (),
  • 15', (),
  • 15', (),
  • 15', (),
  • 15', (),
  • 15', (),
  • 27', Sipley T. (Try),
  • 28', (),
  • 28', (),
  • 28', (),
  • 28', (),
  • 29', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 29', (),
  • 29', (),
  • 33', (),
  • 34', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
  • 35', (),
  • 35', (),
  • 35', (),
  • 35', Garrick R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (22 - 6)
  • 46', Sharpe F. (Try),
  • 48', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Hunt F. (Try),
  • 56', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Schiller J. (Try),
  • 64', Gagai D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 68', Talau T. (Try),
  • 69', Talau T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Sharpe F. (Try),
  • 76', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • Extra Time (4 - 0)
  • 81', Ponga K. (Try),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
31.1%
Draw
4%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 4.2% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 4.1% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Knights's form might have worsened.
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (2.26)
    22.2
    (22.2)
    1.43
    (1.71)
    8.2%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Manly-Warringah is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 319:503. (average 16:25.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 157:158. (average 19.6:19.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights 44:6
    28.05.2023 Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 28:18
    01.04.2023 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights 32:32
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    Main
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    2Melbourne Storm23176657:42940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs23167528:39038
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    5New Zealand Warriors23149491:46934
    6Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    7Penrith Panthers231210536:44931
    8Sydney Roosters231211617:51530
    9Manly Sea Eagles231112528:50828
    10Dolphins221012623:54226
    11Wests Tigers23914449:57624
    12Parramatta Eels23914436:56824
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57224
    14NQ Cowboys24914538:68423
    15St. George Illawarra Dragons23815478:58822
    16Newcastle Knights22616312:53218
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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