Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles vs North Queensland Cowboys: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
18:19 OT
12/07/2026 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 19
  • Referee: Gough P. (Aus)
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
44
Conversion goals
11
Conversion goal attempts
44
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
2540
Dropped goals
01
Dropped goal attempts
01
Total runs
171191
Metres run with ball
14501637

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 6)
  • 10', Chester T. (Try),
  • 11', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Saab J. (Try),
  • 18', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 26', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 28', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
  • 29', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 12)
  • 59', Burns B. (Try),
  • 61', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 66', Saab J. (Try),
  • 67', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 69', Burns B. (Try),
  • 70', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 78', Cotter R. (Try),
  • 79', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 82', Drinkwater S. (Drop Goal),

Chances of winning


Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
60%
Draw
5.3%
North Queensland Cowboys
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 3.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 4% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.57)
    15.27
    (23.73)
    2.61
    (2.52)
    9.8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys?
    • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Manly-Warringah will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -6.5 - Manly-Warringah (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Manly-Warringah (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:21.
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • North Queensland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Manly-Warringah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 496:380. (average 24.8:19).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 201:198. (average 22.3:22).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys were as follows:
    16.04.2026 North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 6:38
    17.05.2025 North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 6:24
    08.03.2025 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys 42:12
    06.07.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 20:21
    15.07.2023 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys 8:19
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers17134515:23732
    2New Zealand Warriors16115470:27628
    3Sydney Roosters16115412:33628
    4Cronulla Sharks16106468:34526
    5Newcastle Knights17116441:40226
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs1697458:37224
    7Dolphins17107452:38824
    8NQ Cowboys17107408:42424
    9Manly Sea Eagles1798441:30922
    10Melbourne Storm1789414:41620
    11Canterbury Bulldogs1679292:39420
    12Canberra Raiders17710345:43618
    13Brisbane Broncos17611329:45318
    14Wests Tigers17710355:48518
    15Parramatta Eels17611331:50716
    16Gold Coast Titans16412297:40914
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons16214244:48310

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
    australiaAustraliaFoxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
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