Manchester City vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Manchester City - Napoli
Result
2:0
18/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Manchester City - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.17
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
231
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
92% (742/805)79% (222/281)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.090.73
Total shots
231
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
90
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
141
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
396
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
43
Passes
92% (742/805)79% (222/281)
Long passes
70% (23/33)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
90% (372/412)63% (30/48)
Crosses
38% (9/24)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
3.150.25
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
34
Tackles
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3328
Clearances
820
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.733.09
Goals prevented
0.731.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Di Lorenzo G. 🟥,
  • 26', De Bruyne K. , Olivera M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Politano M. 🟨,
  • 55', Politano M. , Juan Jesus ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Haaland E. , Foden P. (A),
  • 60', Rodri , Nico ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Doku J. , Reijnders T. (A),
  • 69', Doku J. , Savinho ,
  • 71', Hojlund R. , David Neres ,
  • 71', Anguissa F. , Elmas E. ,
  • 71', Lobotka S. , Gilmour B. ,
  • 80', Reijnders T. , Lewis R. ,
  • 80', Gvardiol J. , Ake N. ,
  • 80', Haaland E. , Bobb O. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
58.6%
Draw
23.7%
Napoli
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Manchester City - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.66)
    4.06
    (4.18)
    5.41
    (5.04)
    4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Manchester City - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 69 - 76.7%). Napoli will win (votes: 10 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 68%85.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Man City (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Man City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Napoli is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Man City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (Ankle Injury) Cherki R. (Thigh Injury) Kovacic M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Marmoush O. (Knee Injury) Phillips K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stones J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Contini N. (Hand Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Bettinelli M. (Knock)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Man City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Man City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Latest results of Napoli
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    23.08.2025 Sassuolo - Napoli 0:2
    10.08.2025 Napoli - Sorrento 4:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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