Manchester City vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Manchester City - Napoli
Result
2:0
18/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Manchester City - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.17
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
231
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
92% (742/805)79% (222/281)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.090.73
Total shots
231
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
90
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
141
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
396
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
43
Passes
92% (742/805)79% (222/281)
Long passes
70% (23/33)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
90% (372/412)63% (30/48)
Crosses
38% (9/24)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
3.150.25
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
34
Tackles
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3328
Clearances
820
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.733.09
Goals prevented
0.731.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Di Lorenzo G. 🟥,
  • 26', De Bruyne K. , Olivera M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Politano M. 🟨,
  • 55', Politano M. , Juan Jesus ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Haaland E. , Foden P. (A),
  • 60', Rodri , Nico ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Doku J. , Reijnders T. (A),
  • 69', Doku J. , Savinho ,
  • 71', Hojlund R. , David Neres ,
  • 71', Anguissa F. , Elmas E. ,
  • 71', Lobotka S. , Gilmour B. ,
  • 80', Reijnders T. , Lewis R. ,
  • 80', Gvardiol J. , Ake N. ,
  • 80', Haaland E. , Bobb O. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
58.6%
Draw
23.7%
Napoli
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Manchester City - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.66)
    4.06
    (4.18)
    5.41
    (5.04)
    4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Manchester City - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 69 - 76.7%). Napoli will win (votes: 10 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 68%85.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Man City (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Man City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Napoli is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Man City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (Ankle Injury) Cherki R. (Thigh Injury) Kovacic M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Marmoush O. (Knee Injury) Phillips K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stones J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Contini N. (Hand Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Bettinelli M. (Knock)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Man City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Man City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Latest results of Napoli
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    23.08.2025 Sassuolo - Napoli 0:2
    10.08.2025 Napoli - Sorrento 4:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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