Manchester City vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Etihad Stadium (Manchester).

: Premier League - Round 37
Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.60	1.06
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
90% (535/592)	85% (357/420)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.48	0.63
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
20	16
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
90% (535/592)	85% (357/420)
Long passes
55% (23/42)	44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
84% (136/161)	71% (82/115)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	0.36
Throw-ins
14	14
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
44% (4/9)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
28	26
Clearances
19	25
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.63	1.48
Goals prevented
-0.19	-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Marmoush O. ⚽, Kovacic M. (A),
36', Huijsen D. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Silva B. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
44', Araujo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kluivert J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
67', Kovacic M. 🟥,
67', Ederson 🟨,
69', De Bruyne K. ↓, Nico ↑,
69', Araujo J. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
74', Cook L. 🟥,
82', Haaland E. ↓, Rodri ↑,
83', Kerkez M. ↓, Soler J. ↑,
83', Evanilson ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
88', Tavernier M. 🟨,
89', 3 - 0, Nico ⚽, Nunes M. (A),
90+1', Marmoush O. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
90+2', Silva B. ↓, Grealish J. ↑,
90+2', Gundogan I. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Jebbison D. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Manchester City
70.8%

Draw
17.5%

Bournemouth
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

20.7%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

19.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester City's performance.

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bournemouth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Manchester City - Bournemouth Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.56)	5.52 ↑ (4.66)	8.24 ↑ (5.62)	3.6% (3.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Manchester City - Bournemouth?

Users Predictions: 114 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 100 - 87.7%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 3 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 81.7% – 93.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Man City (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

AH -1.5 - Man City (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4.
Man City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bournemouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Man City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Man City is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Thigh Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Bournemouth: Christie R. (Groin Injury) Ouattara Da. (Groin Injury) Scott A. (Jaw injury) Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Man City won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 50:11. (average 2.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:5. (average 3.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Bournemouth?

Manchester City has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Manchester City?

Bournemouth has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Bournemouth were as follows:

30.03.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester City 1:2

02.11.2024 Bournemouth - Manchester City 2:1

24.02.2024 Bournemouth - Manchester City 0:1

04.11.2023 Manchester City - Bournemouth 6:1

25.02.2023 Bournemouth - Manchester City 1:4

Latest results of Manchester City

17.05.2025 Crystal Palace - Manchester City 1:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Southampton - Manchester City 0:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2 ✺

22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bournemouth

10.05.2025 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester United 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Bournemouth - Fulham 1:0 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester City - Bournemouth?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, TNT
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CTN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 1, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON